La escuela de los momiosEspañol
CD Mirandés v SD Eibar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CD Mirandés (Local)
Predicción 38.51%2.60momio equitativo
EV +3.98%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +2.34%
Crecimiento +0.093%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.65%38.46%38.56%38.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.462.422.7044.44%40.72%41.32%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SD Eibar (Visitante)
Predicción 33.24%3.01momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.657%
Kelly -0.993%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.57%33.27%33.25%35.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.712.702.9540.00%36.93%37.04%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.25%3.54momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -0.740%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.10%28.27%28.19%30.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.183.203.4536.36%31.49%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV +3.98%E +1.48%K +2.34%G +0.093% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -11.91%E -4.49%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV +3.98%E +1.48%K +2.34%G +0.093% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -11.91%E -4.49%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV +3.98%E +1.48%K +2.34%G +0.093% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -11.91%E -4.49%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 15:58 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV +3.98%E +1.48%K +2.34%G +0.093% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -11.91%E -4.49%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV +3.98%E +1.48%K +2.34%G +0.093% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -11.91%E -4.49%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV +1.29%E +0.490%K +0.790%G +0.010% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV +1.29%E +0.490%K +0.790%G +0.010% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 15:58 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV +1.29%E +0.490%K +0.790%G +0.010% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV +1.29%E +0.490%K +0.790%G +0.010% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV +1.29%E +0.490%K +0.790%G +0.010% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -13.85%E -4.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV +0.133%E +0.051%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -13.85%E -4.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 15:58 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV +0.133%E +0.051%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -15.23%E -5.97%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -15.26%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV +0.133%E +0.051%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -15.23%E -5.97%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -15.26%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.81%EV -1.94%E -0.657%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-10 16:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -16.90%E -6.76%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -16.68%E -5.65%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -5.26%E -2.14%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.26%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -5.26%E -2.14%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.26%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -5.26%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 16:18 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.26%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.26%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 16:18 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.97%EV -6.03%E -2.47%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.48%EV -5.59%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -2.55%E -0.740%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 16:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.40%EV -6.80%E -2.81%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.43%EV -7.59%E -2.73%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.40%EV -6.80%E -2.81%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.43%EV -7.59%E -2.73%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -7.18%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 16:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.25%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Bovada | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.45%EV -7.96%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 16:18 |
| BetAnything | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.45%EV -7.96%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -10.25%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -12.57%E -4.78%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -12.57%E -4.78%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.25%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -15.26%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -8.73%E -3.68%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -12.91%E -4.93%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -8.73%E -3.68%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -12.91%E -4.93%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.50%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.91%E -4.49%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.50%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.25%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.81%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.30%EV -10.91%E -4.07%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 16:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.28%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.38%EV -16.90%E -6.76%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.34%EV -22.32%E -8.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.91%E -4.93%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-10 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.68%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.13%EV -15.23%E -5.97%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.98% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.85% | 0.5% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.76% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.94% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 16:24 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 16:25 |