Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Mirandés v Cultural Leonesa

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 14:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Mirandés (Local)

Prediction 42.92%2.33fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.936%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%43.01%42.86%44.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.152.152.2850.51%46.47%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cultural Leonesa (Visit)

Prediction 29.58%3.38fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%29.47%29.64%30.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.063.053.3035.71%32.69%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.82%27.52%27.50%28.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.45%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Mirandés (Local): 42.92%; Cultural Leonesa (Visit): 29.58%; Draw: 27.50%. For CD Mirandés (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -2.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -2.13%E -0.936%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -2.13%E -0.936%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -2.13%E -0.936%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -2.13%E -0.936%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -2.13%E -0.936%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 15:05
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 15:05
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 15:05
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 15:05
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 07:04
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 07:04
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 14:20
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 07:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 07:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 14:19
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 15:05
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.39%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -4.31%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 13:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 13:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:05
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:20
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 07:05
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 00:19
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:01
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 07:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.10%EV -8.14%E -3.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.54%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.37%EV -14.76%E -4.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.78%EV -8.57%E -4.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -5.96%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 08:14
Bovada🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 13:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 12:25
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:04
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:04
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 14:19
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 07:05
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 07:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 07:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 07:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -2.39%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 12:30
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 13:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.26%EV -12.86%E -6.34%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.47%EV -11.85%E -3.98%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.27%EV -11.46%E -3.56%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.18%EV -13.29%E -6.58%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.57%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-23 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -14.15%E -7.08%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -17.18%E -6.13%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -20.81%E -7.23%K -11.07%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-23 07:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 42.81%EV -15.01%E -7.58%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.28%EV -17.18%E -6.13%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.91%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%6.1%2026-04-23 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%6.1%2026-04-23 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%6.1%2026-04-23 17:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.82%7.9%2026-04-24 00:30
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%10.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 42.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.71%14.5%2026-04-23 20:50