La escuela de los momios

CD Mirandés v Cultural Leonesa

Inicio: 2026-04-26 14:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

CD Mirandés (Local)

Predicción 42.92%2.33momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.936%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.10%43.01%42.86%44.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.152.152.2850.51%46.47%46.51%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cultural Leonesa (Visitante)

Predicción 29.58%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.724%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.93%29.47%29.64%30.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.063.053.3035.71%32.69%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.50%3.64momio equitativo
EV -3.76%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.82%27.52%27.50%28.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.45%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -2.13%E -0.936%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -2.13%E -0.936%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -2.13%E -0.936%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -2.13%E -0.936%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -2.13%E -0.936%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 15:05
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 15:05
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 15:05
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 15:05
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 07:04
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 18:19
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 07:04
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 14:20
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 07:05
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 07:05
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 14:19
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 15:05
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.39%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -4.31%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 13:15
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 13:10
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 13:09
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:05
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:25
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:20
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 07:05
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 00:19
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:01
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 07:00
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.10%EV -8.14%E -3.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.54%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.37%EV -14.76%E -4.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 15:05
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.78%EV -8.57%E -4.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -5.96%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 08:14
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 13:05
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 12:25
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:04
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:04
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 14:19
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 07:05
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 07:00
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 07:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 07:00
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -2.39%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 12:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 13:09
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 12:20
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 12:19
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.26%EV -12.86%E -6.34%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.47%EV -11.85%E -3.98%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.27%EV -11.46%E -3.56%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 12:20
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.18%EV -13.29%E -6.58%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.57%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-23 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -14.15%E -7.08%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -17.18%E -6.13%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -20.81%E -7.23%K -11.07%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-23 07:05
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 42.81%EV -15.01%E -7.58%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.28%EV -17.18%E -6.13%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.91%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%6.1%2026-04-23 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%6.1%2026-04-23 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%6.1%2026-04-23 17:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.82%7.9%2026-04-24 00:30
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%10.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 42.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.71%14.5%2026-04-23 20:50