Language:English
CD Mirandés v CD Castellón
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CD Mirandés (Local)
Prediction 23.45%4.26fair odd
EV +3.88%
Edge +0.876%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 4.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.82%23.42%23.43%24.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.863.804.4328.17%25.94%26.32%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CD Castellón (Visit)
Prediction 51.37%1.95fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.982%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.05%51.41%51.31%52.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.811.801.9159.88%55.34%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.18%3.97fair odd
EV +0.710%
Edge +0.177%
Kelly +0.237%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.89%25.17%25.26%26.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.583.604.0031.25%27.90%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Mirandés (Local): 23.45%; CD Castellón (Visit): 51.37%; Draw: 25.18%. For CD Mirandés (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.82%EV +3.88%E +0.876%K +1.13%G +0.044% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.54%EV -5.47%E -2.97%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.64%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -1.51%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.37%EV -7.35%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -5.03%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.71%EV -8.55%E -4.81%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV +0.710%E +0.177%K +0.237%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -6.50%E -3.57%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.33%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.50%E -3.57%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.50%E -3.57%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.26%EV -12.15%E -7.11%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 16:28 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.99%EV -9.02%E -2.32%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.87%EV -11.64%E -6.77%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -10.62%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-12 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -1.88%E -0.982%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -1.88%E -0.982%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -1.88%E -0.982%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -1.88%E -0.982%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -1.88%E -0.982%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -4.33%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -8.04%E -4.49%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.40%EV -9.58%E -5.44%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -11.12%E -6.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -11.12%E -6.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.40%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -3.93%E -2.10%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -3.93%E -2.10%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -3.93%E -2.10%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -3.93%E -2.10%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -13.24%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -13.24%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -13.24%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.14%E -3.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.14%E -3.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -11.64%E -6.77%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -10.62%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.36%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.36%EV -14.21%E -8.51%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -19.43%E -6.07%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -16.76%E -4.72%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.05%EV -8.04%E -4.49%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -15.66%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.72% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 16:31 |