La escuela de los momiosEspañol
CD Mirandés v CD Castellón
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CD Mirandés (Local)
Predicción 23.45%4.26momio equitativo
EV +3.88%
Ventaja +0.876%
Kelly +1.13%
Crecimiento +0.044%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.82%23.42%23.43%24.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.863.804.4328.17%25.94%26.32%22.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CD Castellón (Visitante)
Predicción 51.37%1.95momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -0.982%
Kelly -2.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.05%51.41%51.31%52.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.811.801.9159.88%55.34%55.56%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.18%3.97momio equitativo
EV +0.710%
Ventaja +0.177%
Kelly +0.237%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.89%25.17%25.26%26.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.583.604.0031.25%27.90%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.82%EV +3.88%E +0.876%K +1.13%G +0.044% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.54%EV -5.47%E -2.97%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.64%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -1.51%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.37%EV -7.35%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -5.03%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.71%EV -8.55%E -4.81%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV +0.710%E +0.177%K +0.237%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -6.50%E -3.57%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.33%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| theScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.50%E -3.57%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.50%E -3.57%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.26%EV -12.15%E -7.11%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 16:28 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.99%EV -9.02%E -2.32%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.87%EV -11.64%E -6.77%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -10.62%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-12 16:24 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -1.88%E -0.982%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -1.88%E -0.982%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -1.88%E -0.982%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -1.88%E -0.982%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -1.88%E -0.982%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betway | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -4.33%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -8.04%E -4.49%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| William Hill | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.40%EV -9.58%E -5.44%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -11.12%E -6.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -11.12%E -6.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.40%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Casumo | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -3.93%E -2.10%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -3.93%E -2.10%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -3.93%E -2.10%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| betPARX | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -3.93%E -2.10%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Coral | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -13.24%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -13.24%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -13.24%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.14%E -3.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.14%E -3.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -11.64%E -6.77%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -10.62%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.36%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.36%EV -14.21%E -8.51%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -19.43%E -6.07%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -16.76%E -4.72%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.05%EV -8.04%E -4.49%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -15.66%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.72% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 16:31 |