Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Mirandés v Cádiz CF

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Mirandés (Local)

Prediction 43.05%2.32fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.808%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.95%43.05%43.08%44.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.162.152.2851.28%46.35%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cádiz CF (Visit)

Prediction 28.23%3.54fair odd
EV +2.18%
Edge +0.603%
Kelly +0.834%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.73%28.21%28.12%30.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.183.103.6234.72%31.47%32.26%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.72%3.48fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.349%
Kelly -0.492%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.60%28.74%28.80%30.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.183.203.4436.36%31.43%31.25%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Mirandés (Local): 43.05%; Cádiz CF (Visit): 28.23%; Draw: 28.72%. For Cádiz CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.78%EV -4.86%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.73%EV +2.18%E +0.603%K +0.834%G +0.018%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.50%EV -5.80%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -1.20%E -0.344%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -4.65%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -1.20%E -0.344%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -4.65%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 18:40
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.60%EV -2.90%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.60%EV -1.20%E -0.349%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 19:25
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.03%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 19:10
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.03%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.79%EV -8.30%E -3.90%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -4.03%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:25
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.03%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.03%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 19:05
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.22%EV -8.30%E -3.90%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.03%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:25
BetAnything🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.22%EV -8.30%E -3.90%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.03%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:25
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.35%E -0.691%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 18:55
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:24
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -11.74%E -5.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 19:13
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.84%E -4.61%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 19:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.84%E -4.61%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 18:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.26%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:55
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.26%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.84%E -4.61%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.67%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:55
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.67%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 18:55
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.67%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.84%E -4.61%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 19:20
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -11.08%E -3.52%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 09:39
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -11.08%E -3.52%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.49%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 09:39
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.49%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 09:39
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.49%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 09:39
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.49%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.49%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 09:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -12.49%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.64%EV -10.39%E -3.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-13 19:23
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.49%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 18:14
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -11.74%E -5.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.49%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-13 19:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -13.04%E -6.45%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -12.49%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -12.40%E -4.07%K -6.05%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-13 18:50
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -1.84%E -0.808%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -13.91%E -4.56%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -1.84%E -0.808%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -13.91%E -4.56%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -1.84%E -0.808%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -13.91%E -4.56%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -1.84%E -0.808%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -13.91%E -4.56%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -1.84%E -0.808%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -13.91%E -4.56%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -13.91%E -4.56%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 09:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.74%E -5.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -13.91%E -4.56%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.47%EV -11.54%E -3.75%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-13 19:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.81%EV -16.05%E -8.23%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -13.91%E -4.56%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -19.58%E -6.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-13 19:09
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -15.32%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:25
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -15.32%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -15.32%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:25
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -15.32%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:25
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -15.32%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:25
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.95%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -16.73%E -5.67%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.44%EV -11.74%E -5.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -16.73%E -5.67%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-13 09:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.10%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -18.14%E -6.26%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-13 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.10%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -18.14%E -6.26%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-13 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -13.90%E -6.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -18.70%E -6.49%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -21.02%E -7.64%K -12.01%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-13 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-03-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-03-13 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-03-13 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-03-13 19:20
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.3%2026-03-13 19:20
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-03-13 19:20