The School of Odds
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CD Mirandés v Albacete

Kickoff: 2026-03-31 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Mirandés (Local)

Prediction 36.60%2.73fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.83%36.57%36.64%37.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.502.502.6544.44%39.95%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Albacete (Visit)

Prediction 35.40%2.82fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.64%35.38%35.38%36.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.592.602.7042.55%38.68%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.00%3.57fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -0.800%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.04%27.98%29.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.12%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Mirandés (Local): 36.60%; Albacete (Visit): 35.40%; Draw: 28.00%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -2.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.27%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.27%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -2.00%E -0.571%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 08:44
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 17:09
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:44
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.83%EV -5.57%E -2.16%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.28%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-25 01:09
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.83%EV -5.57%E -2.16%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.28%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-25 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.29%EV -5.94%E -2.31%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.29%EV -9.02%E -3.51%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 07:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-25 05:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-25 05:39
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.90%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.90%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 17:44
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.90%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 17:44
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.90%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -6.90%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -11.80%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 17:45
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 05:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 15:24
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.73%E -3.81%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-25 05:39
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.73%E -3.81%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-25 05:43
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -11.80%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-24 17:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -11.80%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-25 01:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -9.23%E -3.72%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-24 17:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -9.23%E -3.72%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-24 17:44
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.33%E -4.22%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.73%E -3.81%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-27 17:09
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.33%E -4.22%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-25 05:39
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.16%E -5.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-25 07:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -12.16%E -5.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-27 03:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -12.16%E -5.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-27 03:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.31%EV -12.16%E -5.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-25 01:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.82%EV -12.89%E -5.42%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.64%EV -10.44%E -4.12%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.54%EV -14.04%E -4.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-26 13:40
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.51%EV -12.89%E -5.42%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-25 05:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.42%EV -15.82%E -6.88%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.65%EV -16.81%E -7.15%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.93%EV -16.00%E -5.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-25 01:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -17.65%E -7.85%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.52%EV -16.81%E -7.15%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-25 05:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 36.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 34.98%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.87%16.2%2026-03-25 02:00
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 33.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 33.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 33.33%140.0%2026-03-28 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-25 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-25 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-26 14:09