L’École des cotes

CD Mirandés v Albacete

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-31 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CD Mirandés (Local)

Prévision 36.60%2.73cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.83%36.57%36.64%37.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.502.502.6544.44%39.95%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Albacete (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.40%2.82cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -2.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.64%35.38%35.38%36.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.592.602.7042.55%38.68%38.46%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.00%3.57cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.571%
Kelly -0.800%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%28.04%27.98%29.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.12%31.25%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.27%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.27%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -2.00%E -0.571%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 08:44
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 17:09
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:45
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:45
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:45
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:44
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:44
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.83%EV -5.57%E -2.16%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.28%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-25 01:09
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.83%EV -5.57%E -2.16%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.28%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-25 01:10
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.29%EV -5.94%E -2.31%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.29%EV -9.02%E -3.51%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 07:49
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-25 05:40
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-25 05:39
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.90%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 17:45
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.90%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 17:44
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.90%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 17:44
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.90%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -6.90%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -11.80%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 17:45
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 05:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 15:24
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.73%E -3.81%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-25 05:39
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.73%E -3.81%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-25 05:43
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -11.80%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-24 17:45
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -11.80%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-25 01:09
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -9.23%E -3.72%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-24 17:44
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -9.23%E -3.72%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-24 17:44
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.33%E -4.22%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.73%E -3.81%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-27 17:09
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.33%E -4.22%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-25 05:39
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.16%E -5.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-25 07:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -12.16%E -5.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-27 03:04
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -12.16%E -5.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-27 03:04
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.31%EV -12.16%E -5.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-25 01:14
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.82%EV -12.89%E -5.42%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.64%EV -10.44%E -4.12%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.54%EV -14.04%E -4.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-26 13:40
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.51%EV -12.89%E -5.42%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-25 05:40
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.42%EV -15.82%E -6.88%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.65%EV -16.81%E -7.15%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.93%EV -16.00%E -5.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-25 01:14
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -17.65%E -7.85%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.52%EV -16.81%E -7.15%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-25 05:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 36.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 34.98%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.87%16.2%2026-03-25 02:00
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 33.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 33.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 33.33%140.0%2026-03-28 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-25 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-25 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-26 14:09