Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.94
assuming max odds 2.80
assuming max odds 3.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Eldense (Local): 34.14%; SD Eibar (Visit): 35.61%; Draw: 30.25%. For CD Eldense (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.360%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%EV +0.360%E +0.122%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.41%EV -7.05%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.26%EV -8.04%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.01%E -0.347%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -11.68%E -4.71%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.01%E -0.347%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -11.68%E -4.71%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.01%E -0.347%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -11.68%E -4.71%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 15:32 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.01%E -0.347%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -11.68%E -4.71%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.01%E -0.347%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -11.68%E -4.71%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -2.71%E -0.952%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.76%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.09%EV -3.05%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.08%EV -1.71%E -0.619%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.83%EV -5.01%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-19 16:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.20%E -0.999%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 16:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -15.24%E -6.40%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -15.24%E -6.40%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.10%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.34%EV -8.83%E -3.45%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.20%EV -6.83%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -5.78%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.58%EV -3.13%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -6.13%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.13%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.13%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.13%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -6.13%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.72%EV -16.31%E -6.94%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.76%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -6.47%E -2.36%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -1.71%E -0.619%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 16:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.15%E -2.63%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.87%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -2.06%E -0.751%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-19 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.69%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-19 16:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.75%E -5.20%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.75%E -5.20%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.75%E -5.20%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.75%E -5.20%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.88%E -4.47%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 16:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.30%E -5.46%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -9.20%E -3.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.66%EV -0.284%E -0.102%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.73%E -2.54%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.73%EV -9.20%E -3.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -4.56%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-19 16:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.69%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 16:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -7.73%E -2.54%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.75%E -5.20%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 16:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.18%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.90%EV -19.87%E -8.83%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.92%EV -13.78%E -4.84%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-09-19 15:32 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -10.56%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.56%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-19 16:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.56%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-19 16:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.56%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-19 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -11.25%E -4.33%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.76%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-19 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -12.95%E -5.08%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-19 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.48%EV -12.95%E -5.08%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.89%EV -10.26%E -4.07%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.63%EV -13.18%E -4.59%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-19 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.19%EV -12.95%E -5.08%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.62%EV -19.87%E -8.83%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.19%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-09-19 16:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 16:00 |