La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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CD Eldense v SD Eibar

Inicio: 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC

Final: CD Eldense 1–2 SD Eibar

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

CD Eldense (Local)

Predicción 34.14%2.93momio equitativo
EV +0.360%
Ventaja +0.122%
Kelly +0.185%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.16%34.09%34.11%35.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.732.702.9439.22%36.62%37.04%34.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SD Eibar (Visitante)

Predicción 35.61%2.81momio equitativo
EV -0.284%
Ventaja -0.102%
Kelly -0.158%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.66%35.58%35.71%37.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.542.552.8044.44%39.41%39.22%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 30.25%3.31momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -0.999%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.19%30.33%30.18%31.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.023.003.2035.71%33.14%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: CD Eldense (Local): 34.14%; SD Eibar (Visitante): 35.61%; Empate: 30.25%. Para CD Eldense (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.93. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.94, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.360%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%EV +0.360%E +0.122%K +0.185%G +0.001%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.41%EV -7.05%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.26%EV -8.04%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 16:24
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.01%E -0.347%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -11.68%E -4.71%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:31
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.01%E -0.347%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -11.68%E -4.71%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:31
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.01%E -0.347%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -11.68%E -4.71%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:32
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.01%E -0.347%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -11.68%E -4.71%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:31
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.01%E -0.347%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -11.68%E -4.71%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:31
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -2.71%E -0.952%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.76%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 16:14
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.09%EV -3.05%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.08%EV -1.71%E -0.619%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.83%EV -5.01%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 16:09
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.20%E -0.999%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 16:24
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:55
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 15:31
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 15:31
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 15:31
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 15:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -15.24%E -6.40%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 15:31
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -15.24%E -6.40%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 15:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.10%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.34%EV -8.83%E -3.45%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.20%EV -6.83%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -5.78%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.58%EV -3.13%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -6.13%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:25
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.13%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 15:54
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.13%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.13%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -6.13%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.72%EV -16.31%E -6.94%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.76%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 15:31
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -6.47%E -2.36%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -1.71%E -0.619%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 16:29
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.15%E -2.63%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.87%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -2.06%E -0.751%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 16:25
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.69%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 16:29
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 15:55
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.75%E -5.20%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:44
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.75%E -5.20%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:45
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.75%E -5.20%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.75%E -5.20%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:44
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.88%E -4.47%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 16:09
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.30%E -5.46%K -8.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 16:04
BetAnything🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -9.20%E -3.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.66%EV -0.284%E -0.102%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.73%E -2.54%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 16:29
Bovada🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.73%EV -9.20%E -3.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -4.56%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 16:28
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.69%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 16:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -7.73%E -2.54%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 15:54
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.75%E -5.20%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.18%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.90%EV -19.87%E -8.83%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.92%EV -13.78%E -4.84%K -7.45%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-19 15:32
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -10.56%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 16:25
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.56%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 16:18
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.56%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 16:18
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.56%E -4.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -11.25%E -4.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.76%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -12.95%E -5.08%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.48%EV -12.95%E -5.08%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.89%EV -10.26%E -4.07%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.63%EV -13.18%E -4.59%K -7.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-19 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.19%EV -12.95%E -5.08%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.62%EV -19.87%E -8.83%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.19%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%18.1%2026-09-19 16:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-09-19 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-09-19 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-09-19 16:25
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-09-19 16:25
Matchbook◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-09-19 16:25
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%0.9%2026-09-19 16:00