Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.70
assuming max odds 2.12
assuming max odds 3.52
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Eldense (Local): 26.76%; Mallorca (Visit): 45.49%; Draw: 27.75%. For CD Eldense (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.997%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -0.997%E -0.269%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -11.29%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.87%EV -1.53%E -0.416%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV -5.37%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.37%EV -2.60%E -0.715%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.83%E -2.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -8.56%E -4.26%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 14:58 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -8.56%E -4.26%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.09%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 15:07 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -7.20%E -3.53%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -7.20%E -3.53%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -7.20%E -3.53%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.29%EV -6.88%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.74%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.97%EV -9.25%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 19:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -3.56%E -1.68%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -3.56%E -1.68%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -3.56%E -1.68%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -3.56%E -1.68%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -3.56%E -1.68%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -3.56%E -1.68%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.87%E -0.820%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 07:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.87%E -0.820%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 05:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 14:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -9.93%E -5.01%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.29%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -7.20%E -3.53%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-03 15:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-03 18:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 05:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 05:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 05:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 05:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 19:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -8.11%E -4.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.63%EV -12.66%E -6.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-03 19:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.76%EV -13.11%E -6.87%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.75%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 06:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.79%EV -8.11%E -4.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.79%EV -8.11%E -4.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -14.38%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.88%EV -9.93%E -5.01%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.09%EV -15.71%E -4.99%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 43.99%EV -11.75%E -6.06%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.93%EV -18.13%E -6.15%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -17.05%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-02 19:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 11:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |