L’École des cotes

CD Castellón v Córdoba

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 16:30 UTC

Score final : CD Castellón 1–2 Córdoba

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CD Castellón (Local)

Prévision 64.97%1.54cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -2.60%
Kelly -8.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.64%65.00%64.98%66.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.421.421.4875.19%70.55%70.42%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Córdoba (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.70%6.37cote équitable
EV +2.02%
Avantage +0.311%
Kelly +0.368%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.54%15.70%15.57%17.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.105.765.756.5019.61%17.36%17.39%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.33%5.17cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.273%
Kelly -0.340%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.15%19.31%19.45%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.664.605.1026.67%21.47%21.74%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV +2.02%E +0.311%K +0.368%G +0.007%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -3.33%E -0.665%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 09:05
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.04%EV -5.14%E -3.52%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 15.02%EV +0.768%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.94%EV -1.59%E -0.312%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 16:15
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.60%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.57%EV +0.454%E +0.071%K +0.084%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -4.29%E -0.867%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:20
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.86%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.17%EV -1.90%E -0.304%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -3.33%E -0.665%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:45
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.92%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -1.90%E -0.304%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -5.26%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 15:45
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.22%EV -5.14%E -3.52%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.82%EV -5.51%E -0.915%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.97%EV -2.94%E -0.585%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:19
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -5.26%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 08:40
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 06:05
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 06:06
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 06:05
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -7.09%E -4.96%K -16.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -8.16%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 15:45
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.32%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -1.39%E -0.273%K -0.340%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 16:25
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -8.16%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 15:46
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 16:25
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 65.70%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -6.23%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 16:25
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.16%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:20
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 09:06
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 06:04
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -11.64%E -8.56%K -32.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -3.33%E -0.665%K -0.831%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 16:25
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -13.59%E -10.22%K -41.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -8.16%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-02 16:24
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.96%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:05
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.96%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.96%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 15:40
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.96%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 15:40
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.96%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 15:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -8.96%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 16:20
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -9.75%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 16:20
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -11.64%E -8.56%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -9.75%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 16:25
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.28%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -10.53%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.16%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 12:15
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.28%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -10.53%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.16%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 12:16
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -10.53%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -3.33%E -0.665%K -0.831%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 16:15
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 15:40
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 15:40
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 15:55
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 15:40
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -7.09%E -4.96%K -16.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -7.09%E -4.96%K -16.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 15:40
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 12:15
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -7.09%E -4.96%K -16.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 15:45
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.25%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -14.93%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 15:40
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.25%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -14.93%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 15:40
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 10:35
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.18%EV -9.69%E -6.97%K -24.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -12.03%E -2.64%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 16:05
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.15%EV -12.94%E -9.66%K -38.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.87%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-02 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 62.64%EV -13.59%E -10.22%K -41.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.15%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.22%EV -27.49%E -7.33%K -10.00%G +0.000%20.0%2026-05-02 16:25
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -15.24%E -2.82%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 12:15
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.01%EV -10.34%E -7.49%K -27.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.36%EV -15.24%E -2.82%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 16:05
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.58%EV -10.34%E -7.49%K -27.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -15.24%E -2.82%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.17%EV -15.89%E -3.65%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -17.60%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 15:45
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -17.60%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -17.60%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 15:50
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -17.60%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 15:45
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.50%EV -9.69%E -6.97%K -24.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -19.95%E -3.91%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-02 12:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.06%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%0.6%2026-05-02 16:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%1.0%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%1.0%2026-05-02 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%1.0%2026-05-02 16:25
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.63%2.0%2026-05-02 15:40
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.12%2.2%2026-05-02 16:25