La escuela de los momiosEspañol
CD Castellón v Córdoba
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CD Castellón (Local)
Predicción 64.97%1.54momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -2.60%
Kelly -8.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.64%65.00%64.98%66.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.421.421.4875.19%70.55%70.42%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Córdoba (Visitante)
Predicción 15.70%6.37momio equitativo
EV +2.02%
Ventaja +0.311%
Kelly +0.368%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.54%15.70%15.57%17.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.105.765.756.5019.61%17.36%17.39%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.33%5.17momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.273%
Kelly -0.340%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.15%19.31%19.45%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.664.605.1026.67%21.47%21.74%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV +2.02%E +0.311%K +0.368%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -3.33%E -0.665%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.04%EV -5.14%E -3.52%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.42I 15.58%NM 15.02%EV +0.768%E +0.120%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.94%EV -1.59%E -0.312%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.60%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.57%EV +0.454%E +0.071%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -4.29%E -0.867%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.86%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.17%EV -1.90%E -0.304%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -3.33%E -0.665%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.92%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -1.90%E -0.304%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -5.26%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.22%EV -5.14%E -3.52%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.82%EV -5.51%E -0.915%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.97%EV -2.94%E -0.585%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 16:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -5.26%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 06:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 06:06 |
| BetAnything | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 06:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -7.09%E -4.96%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -8.16%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.32%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -1.39%E -0.273%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -8.16%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 15:46 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.70%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -6.23%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.16%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 09:06 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 06:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -11.64%E -8.56%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -3.33%E -0.665%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -13.59%E -10.22%K -41.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -5.82%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -8.16%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-02 16:24 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.96%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.96%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.96%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.96%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.96%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -8.96%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -9.75%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -11.64%E -8.56%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -9.75%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.28%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -10.53%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.16%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 12:15 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.28%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -10.53%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.16%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 12:16 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -10.53%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -3.33%E -0.665%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -6.44%E -4.48%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -7.09%E -4.96%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -7.09%E -4.96%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -12.10%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 12:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -7.09%E -4.96%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.25%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -14.93%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.25%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -14.93%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 10:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.18%EV -9.69%E -6.97%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -12.03%E -2.64%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.15%EV -12.94%E -9.66%K -38.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.87%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 62.64%EV -13.59%E -10.22%K -41.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.15%EV -13.67%E -2.49%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.22%EV -27.49%E -7.33%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -15.24%E -2.82%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 12:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.01%EV -10.34%E -7.49%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.36%EV -15.24%E -2.82%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.58%EV -10.34%E -7.49%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -15.24%E -2.82%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.17%EV -15.89%E -3.65%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -17.60%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -17.60%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-02 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -17.60%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-02 15:50 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.04%E -6.46%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -17.60%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.50%EV -9.69%E -6.97%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -19.95%E -3.91%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -11.06%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-02 12:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.06% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.63% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.49% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.12% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |