A Escola das Odds

CD Castellón v Almería

Início: 2026-04-02 18:04 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

CD Castellón (Local)

Previsão 48.48%2.06odd justa
EV -2.06%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.39%48.39%48.43%49.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.911.912.0257.14%52.27%52.36%49.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Almería (Visitante)

Previsão 26.73%3.74odd justa
EV +1.56%
Vantagem +0.412%
Kelly +0.559%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.71%26.79%26.84%28.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.393.403.8032.26%29.50%29.41%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.79%4.03odd justa
EV -0.849%
Vantagem -0.212%
Kelly -0.283%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.72%24.82%24.72%26.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.673.704.0029.41%27.21%27.03%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.45%E -2.80%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV +1.56%E +0.412%K +0.559%G +0.009%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 17:59
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +1.56%E +0.412%K +0.559%G +0.009%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:59
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +1.56%E +0.412%K +0.559%G +0.009%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:59
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -1.11%E -0.300%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 18:00
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -9.82%E -5.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -1.11%E -0.300%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-02 18:00
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -2.71%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 17:59
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -5.45%E -2.80%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 18:00
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 17:59
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 18:00
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -3.03%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 18:00
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -0.849%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 17:59
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.88%E -4.15%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.33%E -0.853%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 17:59
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 17:59
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.27%E -6.16%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-02 18:00
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.41%EV -3.03%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.69%EV -4.81%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 17:59
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 17:59
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.88%E -4.15%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 17:59
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 17:59
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-02 17:59
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 18:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 18:01
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 18:00
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 18:00
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 18:00
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 18:00
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.80%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.94%EV -11.76%E -6.46%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-02 17:59
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.73%E -7.07%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-02 18:00
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -15.15%E -8.66%K -20.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-02 18:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -3.03%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 18:00
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 18:00
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 18:01
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 18:00
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.45%E -2.80%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 18:00
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -5.94%E -3.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.57%EV -5.94%E -3.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -15.81%E -5.02%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-02 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -15.81%E -5.02%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 18:00
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -15.81%E -5.02%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.39%EV -7.88%E -4.15%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -17.15%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-02 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -17.15%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-02 18:00
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -17.15%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-02 18:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-04-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-04-02 18:00
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-04-02 18:00
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.02%2.5%2026-04-02 18:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%6.0%2026-04-02 18:00