L’École des cotes

CD Castellón v Almería

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 18:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CD Castellón (Local)

Prévision 48.48%2.06cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.39%48.39%48.43%49.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.911.912.0257.14%52.27%52.36%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Almería (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.73%3.74cote équitable
EV +1.56%
Avantage +0.412%
Kelly +0.559%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.71%26.79%26.84%28.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.403.8032.26%29.50%29.41%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.79%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.849%
Avantage -0.212%
Kelly -0.283%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.72%24.82%24.72%26.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.673.704.0029.41%27.21%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.45%E -2.80%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV +1.56%E +0.412%K +0.559%G +0.009%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 17:59
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +1.56%E +0.412%K +0.559%G +0.009%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:59
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +1.56%E +0.412%K +0.559%G +0.009%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:59
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -1.11%E -0.300%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 18:00
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -9.82%E -5.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -1.11%E -0.300%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-02 18:00
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -2.71%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 17:59
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -5.45%E -2.80%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 18:00
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 17:59
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 18:00
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -3.03%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 18:00
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -0.849%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 17:59
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.88%E -4.15%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.33%E -0.853%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 17:59
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 17:59
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.27%E -6.16%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-02 18:00
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.41%EV -3.03%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.69%EV -4.81%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 17:59
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 17:59
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.88%E -4.15%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 17:59
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 17:59
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-02 17:59
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 18:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 18:01
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 18:00
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 18:00
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 18:00
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 18:00
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.80%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.94%EV -11.76%E -6.46%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-02 17:59
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.73%E -7.07%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-02 18:00
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -15.15%E -8.66%K -20.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-02 18:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -3.03%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 18:00
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 18:00
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 18:01
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 18:00
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.45%E -2.80%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 18:00
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -5.94%E -3.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.57%EV -5.94%E -3.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -15.81%E -5.02%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-02 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -15.81%E -5.02%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 18:00
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -15.81%E -5.02%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.39%EV -7.88%E -4.15%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -17.15%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-02 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -17.15%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-02 18:00
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -17.15%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-02 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-04-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-04-02 18:00
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-04-02 18:00
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.02%2.5%2026-04-02 18:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%6.0%2026-04-02 18:00