La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
CD Castellón v Almería
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CD Castellón (Local)
Predicción 48.48%2.06momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -2.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.39%48.39%48.43%49.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.911.912.0257.14%52.27%52.36%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Almería (Visitante)
Predicción 26.73%3.74momio equitativo
EV +1.56%
Ventaja +0.412%
Kelly +0.559%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.71%26.79%26.84%28.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.403.8032.26%29.50%29.41%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.79%4.03momio equitativo
EV -0.849%
Ventaja -0.212%
Kelly -0.283%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.72%24.82%24.72%26.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.673.704.0029.41%27.21%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.45%E -2.80%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV +1.56%E +0.412%K +0.559%G +0.009% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +1.56%E +0.412%K +0.559%G +0.009% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +1.56%E +0.412%K +0.559%G +0.009% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -1.11%E -0.300%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -9.82%E -5.28%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -1.11%E -0.300%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -2.71%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -5.45%E -2.80%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -3.03%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -0.849%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.88%E -4.15%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.33%E -0.853%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.27%E -6.16%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.41%EV -3.03%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.69%EV -4.81%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.88%E -4.15%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-02 18:01 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.80%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.94%EV -11.76%E -6.46%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.73%E -7.07%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -15.15%E -8.66%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -3.03%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 18:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.45%E -2.80%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -5.94%E -3.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.57%EV -5.94%E -3.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -15.81%E -5.02%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -15.81%E -5.02%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -15.81%E -5.02%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.39%EV -7.88%E -4.15%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -17.15%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -17.15%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -17.15%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.29% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.02% | 2.5% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |