Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cádiz CF v Málaga

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prediction 31.03%3.22fair odd
EV +0.545%
Edge +0.168%
Kelly +0.244%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.83%31.02%30.95%32.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.952.903.2436.36%33.88%34.48%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Málaga (Visit)

Prediction 39.83%2.51fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.654%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%39.81%39.91%41.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.292.302.4750.00%43.59%43.48%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.14%3.43fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.99%29.17%29.14%31.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.153.153.3535.71%31.78%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cádiz CF (Local): 31.03%; Málaga (Visit): 39.83%; Draw: 29.14%. For Cádiz CF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.545%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.85%EV +0.545%E +0.168%K +0.244%G +0.001%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.85%EV -5.60%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 17:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV +0.545%E +0.168%K +0.244%G +0.001%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.29%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -10.26%E -3.33%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Pinnacle🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.20%EV -1.61%E -0.654%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.07%EV -6.18%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 17:25
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:09
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:15
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:09
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.03%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.92%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.05%EV -7.93%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:20
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.35%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -6.28%E -2.08%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.83%EV -6.79%E -2.90%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.31%EV -7.35%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:25
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.45%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.40%E -0.716%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.45%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.40%E -0.716%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.45%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.40%E -0.716%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.45%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.40%E -0.716%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.45%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.40%E -0.716%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:44
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06%EV -6.00%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:21
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06%EV -6.00%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 17:24
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 17:09
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 17:09
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.52%E -2.52%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 17:24
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.52%E -2.52%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 17:24
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.45%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -8.45%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:09
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:09
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.18%E -4.03%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 16:49
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.18%E -4.03%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:09
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.18%E -4.03%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:09
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.18%E -4.03%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:10
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.18%E -4.03%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:09
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 17:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 17:24
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 17:10
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-21 17:10
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 17:18
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 16:49
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -20.34%E -10.17%K -20.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -18.42%E -6.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-21 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.04%EV -10.94%E -3.81%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.95%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.02%EV -10.55%E -3.44%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 17:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 16:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 30.89%EV -12.49%E -4.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.59%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-21 17:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.78%EV -16.35%E -7.79%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.84%EV -18.42%E -6.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-21 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-03-21 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-03-21 17:25
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-03-21 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-03-21 17:09
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-03-21 17:19
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.97%2.7%2026-03-21 17:24