L’École des cotes

Cádiz CF v Málaga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prévision 31.03%3.22cote équitable
EV +0.545%
Avantage +0.168%
Kelly +0.244%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.83%31.02%30.95%32.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.952.903.2436.36%33.88%34.48%30.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Málaga (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.83%2.51cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.654%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.44%39.81%39.91%41.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.292.302.4750.00%43.59%43.48%40.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.14%3.43cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -0.716%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.99%29.17%29.14%31.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.153.153.3535.71%31.78%31.75%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag3.24I 30.86%NM 29.85%EV +0.545%E +0.168%K +0.244%G +0.001%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.85%EV -5.60%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 17:04
LowVig.ag3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV +0.545%E +0.168%K +0.244%G +0.001%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.29%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -10.26%E -3.33%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.20%EV -1.61%E -0.654%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.07%EV -6.18%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 17:25
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:09
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:15
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:09
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.03%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.92%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.05%EV -7.93%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:20
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.35%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:09
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -6.28%E -2.08%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.83%EV -6.79%E -2.90%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.31%EV -7.35%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:25
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.45%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.40%E -0.716%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:44
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.45%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.40%E -0.716%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:45
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.45%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.40%E -0.716%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:45
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.45%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.40%E -0.716%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:45
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.45%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.40%E -0.716%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:44
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06%EV -6.00%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:21
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06%EV -6.00%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:24
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 17:24
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 17:09
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 17:09
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.52%E -2.52%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 17:24
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.52%E -2.52%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 17:24
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.45%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 17:10
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -8.45%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 17:15
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:09
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:09
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:09
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.18%E -4.03%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 16:49
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.18%E -4.03%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:09
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.18%E -4.03%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:09
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.18%E -4.03%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:10
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.18%E -4.03%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:09
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 17:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 17:24
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 17:10
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-21 17:10
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 17:18
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 16:49
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -20.34%E -10.17%K -20.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -18.42%E -6.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-21 09:55
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.04%EV -10.94%E -3.81%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.95%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.02%EV -10.55%E -3.44%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 17:24
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 16:44
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 16:44
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 30.89%EV -12.49%E -4.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.59%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 17:19
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-21 17:24
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.78%EV -16.35%E -7.79%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.84%EV -18.42%E -6.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-21 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-03-21 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-03-21 17:25
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-03-21 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-03-21 17:09
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-03-21 17:19
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.97%2.7%2026-03-21 17:24