Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.00
assuming max odds 2.04
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cádiz CF (Local): 25.46%; Girona FC (Visit): 46.85%; Draw: 27.69%. For Cádiz CF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV +1.83%E +0.458%K +0.610%G +0.011% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.38%E -6.62%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.29%EV +1.32%E +0.332%K +0.443%G +0.006% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.85%EV -5.35%E -2.65%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.86%EV -3.92%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -0.715%E -0.183%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.00%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.63%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 18:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -1.99%E -0.516%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.17%EV -6.76%E -3.40%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -1.99%E -0.516%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.17%EV -6.76%E -3.40%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 18:53 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -1.99%E -0.516%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.17%EV -6.76%E -3.40%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.26%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.26%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.89%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -3.09%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -9.10%E -4.69%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 18:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.83%EV -8.17%E -4.17%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-19 18:53 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -5.81%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.27%EV -6.32%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.97%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.09%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-19 18:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-19 18:33 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -9.63%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.16%EV -12.38%E -6.62%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -12.78%E -4.06%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -6.76%E -3.40%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-19 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -7.70%E -3.91%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-19 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -7.70%E -3.91%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-19 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -7.70%E -3.91%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-19 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -7.70%E -3.91%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-19 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.10%EV -12.93%E -3.78%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -9.57%E -4.96%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.64%EV -10.57%E -3.27%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 17:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -8.17%E -4.17%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -8.17%E -4.17%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.94%EV -9.10%E -4.69%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-19 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -14.72%E -4.39%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.15%EV -9.10%E -4.69%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.99%E -4.85%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.99%E -4.85%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.99%E -4.85%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.99%E -4.85%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.72%EV -15.99%E -4.85%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 46.90%EV -15.19%E -8.39%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.38%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.29%EV -17.26%E -5.31%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.69%EV -12.38%E -6.62%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.02%EV -15.55%E -5.10%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-09-19 18:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-09-19 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |