L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Cádiz CF v Girona FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 18:59 UTC

Score final : Cádiz CF 1–2 Girona FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prévision 25.46%3.93cote équitable
EV +1.83%
Avantage +0.458%
Kelly +0.610%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.98%25.39%25.48%26.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.563.584.0030.77%28.06%27.97%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Girona FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.85%2.13cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -2.17%
Kelly -4.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.18%46.90%46.86%49.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.811.971.962.0455.25%50.88%50.89%49.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.69%3.61cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -0.883%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.87%27.71%27.66%28.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.283.273.5032.79%30.48%30.53%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cádiz CF (Local) : 25.46% ; Girona FC (Visiteur) : 46.85% ; Match nul : 27.69%. Pour Cádiz CF (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.93. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +1.83%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV +1.83%E +0.458%K +0.610%G +0.011%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.38%E -6.62%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 18:49
Pinnacle🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.29%EV +1.32%E +0.332%K +0.443%G +0.006%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.85%EV -5.35%E -2.65%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.86%EV -3.92%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 18:55
1xBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -0.715%E -0.183%K -0.247%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.00%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.63%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 18:53
BetOnline.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -1.99%E -0.516%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.17%EV -6.76%E -3.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -1.99%E -0.516%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.17%EV -6.76%E -3.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:53
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -1.99%E -0.516%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.17%EV -6.76%E -3.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:54
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.26%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:35
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.26%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 18:54
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.89%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -3.09%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 17:19
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:45
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -9.10%E -4.69%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 18:53
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.83%EV -8.17%E -4.17%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 18:53
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -5.81%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.27%EV -6.32%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.97%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.09%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 17:19
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:10
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 18:30
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 18:33
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 18:33
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 18:39
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 18:49
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -9.63%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.16%EV -12.38%E -6.62%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -12.78%E -4.06%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-19 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 17:19
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 17:45
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 17:45
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 18:39
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -6.76%E -3.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 17:45
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -7.70%E -3.91%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 18:10
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -7.70%E -3.91%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 18:10
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -7.70%E -3.91%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 18:10
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -7.70%E -3.91%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 26.10%EV -12.93%E -3.78%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -9.57%E -4.96%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.64%EV -10.57%E -3.27%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 18:35
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 14:02
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 17:44
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -8.17%E -4.17%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -8.17%E -4.17%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.94%EV -9.10%E -4.69%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -14.72%E -4.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.15%EV -9.10%E -4.69%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.99%E -4.85%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 14:02
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.99%E -4.85%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.99%E -4.85%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.99%E -4.85%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 25.72%EV -15.99%E -4.85%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 46.90%EV -15.19%E -8.39%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.38%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-19 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.29%EV -17.26%E -5.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 45.69%EV -12.38%E -6.62%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.02%EV -15.55%E -5.10%K -7.59%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-19 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-09-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-09-19 18:55
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-09-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-09-19 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-09-19 18:49
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-09-19 18:55