Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 2.38
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cádiz CF (Local): 30.18%; Córdoba (Visit): 41.83%; Draw: 28.00%. For Cádiz CF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.417%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -0.417%E -0.126%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.10%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%EV -1.93%E -0.592%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -6.21%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%EV -1.93%E -0.592%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -6.21%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.43%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.43%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -4.04%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -7.56%E -3.42%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -8.17%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.01%E -0.575%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 11:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -16.01%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.92%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -16.01%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -20.11%E -10.53%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -21.61%E -7.72%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.11%EV -11.33%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.64%EV -9.57%E -2.96%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.451%E -0.190%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.451%E -0.190%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.451%E -0.190%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.451%E -0.190%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.451%E -0.190%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.33%EV -13.39%E -4.67%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.05%EV -13.42%E -6.48%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.63%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -17.01%E -6.19%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -4.63%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -17.01%E -6.19%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -4.63%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.60%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.47%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.68% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.15% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |