La escuela de los momios

Cádiz CF v Córdoba

Inicio: 2026-04-04 12:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cádiz CF (Local)

Predicción 30.18%3.31momio equitativo
EV -0.417%
Ventaja -0.126%
Kelly -0.181%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.46%30.13%30.26%32.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.3037.04%33.61%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Córdoba (Visitante)

Predicción 41.83%2.39momio equitativo
EV -0.451%
Ventaja -0.190%
Kelly -0.327%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.47%41.86%41.81%43.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.232.212.3852.36%44.87%45.15%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.00%3.57momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -0.575%
Kelly -0.806%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.18%28.01%27.93%29.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.263.263.5035.71%30.68%30.63%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -0.417%E -0.126%K -0.181%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.10%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 11:59
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%EV -1.93%E -0.592%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -6.21%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 12:00
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%EV -1.93%E -0.592%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -6.21%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 12:00
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.43%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 12:01
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.43%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 12:00
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -4.04%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -7.56%E -3.42%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -8.17%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 11:59
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.01%E -0.575%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 11:58
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 11:59
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 12:00
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 12:00
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 11:59
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 12:00
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 12:01
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 12:00
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -16.01%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:01
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:59
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.92%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 11:59
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 11:59
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 12:00
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 11:59
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 11:59
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:59
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:59
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 12:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -16.01%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-04 12:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -20.11%E -10.53%K -22.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -21.61%E -7.72%K -12.01%G +0.000%21.4%2026-04-04 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.11%EV -11.33%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.64%EV -9.57%E -2.96%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 11:59
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 12:00
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 11:59
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 12:00
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 11:59
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.451%E -0.190%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 12:01
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.451%E -0.190%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 12:01
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.451%E -0.190%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 12:00
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.451%E -0.190%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 12:00
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.451%E -0.190%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 30.33%EV -13.39%E -4.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.05%EV -13.42%E -6.48%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.63%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-04 12:01
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 12:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 12:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 12:01
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 12:00
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-04 12:00
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -17.01%E -6.19%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -4.63%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 12:00
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -17.01%E -6.19%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -4.63%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 12:00
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.60%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.47%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 12:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-04-04 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-04-04 12:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-04-04 12:01
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-04-04 12:01
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%3.9%2026-04-04 12:00
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.15%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%7.1%2026-04-04 12:01