The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cádiz CF v AD Ceuta FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 15:15 UTC

Final: Cádiz CF 3–1 AD Ceuta FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prediction 48.22%2.07fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.58%48.35%48.22%50.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.901.912.0058.14%52.73%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AD Ceuta FC (Visit)

Prediction 24.67%4.05fair odd
EV +0.180%
Edge +0.044%
Kelly +0.059%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.54%24.59%24.66%26.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.723.704.0629.41%26.86%27.03%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.676%
Kelly -0.935%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%27.05%27.12%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.83%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cádiz CF (Local): 48.22%; AD Ceuta FC (Visit): 24.67%; Draw: 27.10%. For AD Ceuta FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.180%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -3.55%E -1.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.81%EV +0.180%E +0.044%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.86%EV -5.96%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 15:12
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -1.30%E -0.325%K -0.433%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 15:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -1.30%E -0.325%K -0.433%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 15:01
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -1.30%E -0.325%K -0.433%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -14.65%E -8.27%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -1.30%E -0.325%K -0.433%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 15:11
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -6.45%E -3.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -2.53%E -0.642%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -4.06%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 15:12
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -3.77%E -0.966%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 14:31
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.43%E -0.676%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 14:40
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.93%E -3.59%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 14:22
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.93%E -3.59%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 14:22
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.93%E -3.59%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.93%E -3.59%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.93%E -3.59%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 14:22
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -6.93%E -3.59%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-25 15:11
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.43%E -0.676%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 14:40
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 14:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 14:26
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -7.41%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -6.77%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 14:15
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 15:12
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 15:01
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -6.93%E -3.59%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 15:12
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -11.75%E -6.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -2.43%E -0.676%K -0.935%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 15:12
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -7.41%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 14:26
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -7.41%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 14:25
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 14:15
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 14:22
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 14:22
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -8.38%E -4.41%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 15:12
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.23%EV -10.31%E -5.54%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.23%EV -10.31%E -5.54%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 14:22
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.38%E -4.41%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 14:40
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.38%E -4.41%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 15:12
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.38%E -4.41%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 14:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 15:12
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.98%E -5.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 14:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.53%EV -9.82%E -5.25%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-25 15:12
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-25 14:22
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-25 14:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-25 14:26
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-25 14:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-25 14:26
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.92%EV -10.31%E -5.54%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.90%EV -11.66%E -3.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.18%EV -11.10%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 14:51
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -8.38%E -4.41%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 14:26
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 47.97%EV -12.72%E -7.03%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -14.63%E -4.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-25 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 14:26
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.22%EV -14.16%E -7.96%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%EV -14.63%E -4.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-25 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 48.91%EV -17.06%E -9.92%K -23.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.38%EV -14.87%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.71%EV -14.63%E -4.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%18.9%2026-10-25 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -9.82%E -5.25%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -16.11%E -4.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-10-25 15:12
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-10-25 15:12
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-10-25 15:12
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-10-25 15:12
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-10-25 15:12
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-10-25 15:12