Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cádiz CF v AD Ceuta FC

2026-10-25 15:15 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prévision 49.47%2.02cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -3.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.15%49.50%49.36%51.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.821.831.9560.24%54.85%54.79%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

AD Ceuta FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.69%4.22cote équitable
EV +0.698%
Avantage +0.164%
Kelly +0.215%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.08%23.63%23.85%25.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.913.874.2528.57%25.60%25.87%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.83%3.73cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -0.564%
Kelly -0.777%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.07%26.87%26.79%27.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.423.403.6532.26%29.22%29.41%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Cádiz CF (Local) : 49.47% ; AD Ceuta FC (Visiteur) : 23.69% ; Match nul : 26.83%. Pour AD Ceuta FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.22. 5 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.25, pour une espérance positive de +0.698%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -10.45%E -5.78%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV +0.698%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -10.45%E -5.78%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV +0.698%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 16:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -10.45%E -5.78%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV +0.698%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 16:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -10.45%E -5.78%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV +0.698%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 16:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -10.45%E -5.78%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV +0.698%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 16:14
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.03%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -0.961%E -0.230%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.23%EV -6.35%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -7.49%E -4.00%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -2.86%E -0.697%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 16:15
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -12.93%E -7.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -2.86%E -0.697%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 15:35
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -12.93%E -7.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -2.86%E -0.697%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 15:34
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -12.93%E -7.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -2.86%E -0.697%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 15:34
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -12.93%E -7.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -2.86%E -0.697%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 15:34
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -2.06%E -0.564%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 16:39
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.49%E -4.00%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -13.42%E -7.67%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.37%EV -13.92%E -8.00%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 15:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.37%EV -13.92%E -8.00%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -14.41%E -8.33%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 15:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.75%EV -7.49%E -4.00%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.98%EV -8.07%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.28%EV -5.01%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-18 16:04
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-18 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 51.49%EV -17.87%E -10.77%K -27.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.20%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-18 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:49
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -7.49%E -4.00%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 16:04
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -7.49%E -4.00%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 16:04
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 18:39
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 18:38
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 17:14
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 16:43
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.95%E -6.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-18 16:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -12.33%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 18:54
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -14.70%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -9.96%E -5.47%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -15.89%E -4.48%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-18 16:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 49.62%EV -16.89%E -10.05%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.48%EV -15.89%E -4.48%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.89%EV -16.82%E -5.42%K -8.01%G +0.000%20.0%2026-10-18 16:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -10.95%E -6.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -17.07%E -4.88%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -14.13%E -4.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-18 16:04
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -10.95%E -6.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -17.07%E -4.88%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -14.13%E -4.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-18 16:13
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 47.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.18%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.14%16.5%2026-10-18 16:05