Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Burgos CF v Córdoba

2026-08-16 17:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Burgos CF (Local)

Prediction 45.90%2.18fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%45.98%45.82%48.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.991.982.1555.56%50.35%50.38%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV -0.228%
Edge -0.060%
Kelly -0.081%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.86%26.12%26.38%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.8031.25%28.68%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.84%3.59fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.731%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.02%27.91%27.80%29.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.79%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Burgos CF (Local): 45.90%; Córdoba (Visit): 26.26%; Draw: 27.84%. For Córdoba (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.80, with an expected value of -0.228%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -1.31%E -0.608%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:14
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -1.31%E -0.608%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -13.69%E -4.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 18:19
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 45.34%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.74%EV -6.53%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV -5.06%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 19:24
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.69%E -4.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-03 18:19
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -4.06%E -1.94%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -2.56%E -0.731%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 19:29
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 19:29
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 16:59
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.82%E -3.36%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 19:24
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 19:27
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-03 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.57%E -4.86%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.47%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -15.98%E -4.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.43%EV -15.09%E -4.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-03 19:24
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.61%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -16.48%E -5.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-03 16:59
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -13.70%E -7.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -0.228%E -0.060%K -0.081%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-03 16:39
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -16.46%E -9.04%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -6.79%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-03 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 47.92%EV -16.91%E -9.35%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.09%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -13.69%E -4.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-03 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -17.37%E -9.65%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-03 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.