Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Burgos CF v Córdoba

Início: 2026-08-16 17:00 UTC

Final: Burgos CF 3–2 Córdoba

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Burgos CF (Local)

Previsão 41.58%2.40odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.432%
Kelly -0.745%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.59%41.48%41.57%42.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.122.242.242.3847.17%44.65%44.64%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Córdoba (Visitante)

Previsão 28.97%3.45odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -0.533%
Kelly -0.757%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.23%29.00%28.89%30.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.123.103.3935.09%32.06%32.26%29.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.45%3.40odd justa
EV -2.81%
Vantagem -0.853%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.66%29.51%29.54%31.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.073.103.3035.09%32.59%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Burgos CF (Local): 41.58%; Córdoba (Visitante): 28.97%; Empate: 29.45%. Para Burgos CF (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.40. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.38, com valor esperado de -1.03%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -1.03%E -0.432%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -1.03%E -0.432%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:44
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -1.03%E -0.432%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:45
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.28%E -0.968%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.28%E -0.968%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.28%E -0.968%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.28%E -0.968%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.28%E -0.968%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:24
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.28%EV -3.11%E -1.33%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.37%EV -1.81%E -0.533%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.34%EV -6.64%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 16:35
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.81%E -0.853%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -2.81%E -0.853%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:49
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -7.23%E -2.30%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -5.19%E -2.27%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 16:24
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -5.19%E -2.27%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 16:24
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -5.19%E -2.27%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 16:25
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -5.19%E -2.27%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 16:25
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.60%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.37%EV -6.44%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.84%EV -3.11%E -0.945%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 16:49
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 16:34
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.15%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -7.53%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:29
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 16:29
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -13.12%E -4.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 16:25
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -6.85%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 15:58
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.81%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -13.12%E -4.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.81%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -13.12%E -4.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 16:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.51%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 13:50
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.51%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.51%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 15:25
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.41%EV -8.51%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -8.12%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 14:04
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.41%EV -8.51%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -8.12%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 14:05
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.51%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 06:59
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.51%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -8.51%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -13.12%E -4.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 16:35
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.51%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 06:59
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.51%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 06:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.51%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 06:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.51%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 06:59
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.86%EV -9.76%E -4.50%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 13:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 39.75%EV -10.18%E -4.71%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.13%EV -17.45%E -6.12%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.13%EV -16.07%E -5.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-16 16:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -10.59%E -4.93%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -7.23%E -2.30%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -10.59%E -4.93%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.59%E -4.93%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:05
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.59%E -4.93%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.59%E -4.93%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.59%E -5.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-16 16:49
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.59%E -4.93%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.59%E -5.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-16 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 16:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.83%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.56%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 16:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-08-16 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-08-16 16:55
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-08-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%1.4%2026-08-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%1.4%2026-08-16 16:55
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%2.3%2026-08-16 16:55