Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 3.40
assuming max odds 3.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burgos CF (Local): 40.25%; Córdoba (Visit): 29.52%; Draw: 30.23%. For Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.379%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV +0.379%E +0.111%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 04:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV +0.379%E +0.111%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 04:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.49%EV -3.81%E -1.59%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.98%EV -1.39%E -0.417%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.57%E -0.780%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -2.57%E -0.780%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.82%E -3.67%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 11:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -2.57%E -0.780%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -2.87%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -8.10%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.45%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.94%E -4.49%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.45%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -15.36%E -5.49%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 08:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.52%EV -6.71%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -6.89%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -1.76%E -0.540%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.95%EV -7.03%E -3.04%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.95%EV -7.03%E -3.04%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -15.48%E -7.37%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.78%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.78%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.78%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.27%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.78%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -13.47%E -6.26%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.27%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 09:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 40.84%EV -11.86%E -5.41%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.32%EV -10.82%E -3.67%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 04:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.45%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 04:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.77%EV -7.83%E -3.42%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%EV -10.65%E -4.80%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -10.54%E -3.48%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -10.82%E -3.67%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 10:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -5.69%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -15.48%E -7.37%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.70%EV -17.49%E -8.53%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.49%EV -19.89%E -7.51%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -12.91%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -8.23%E -3.61%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.91%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -8.23%E -3.61%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.91%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -15.48%E -7.37%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -17.34%E -6.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -18.38%E -6.81%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.45% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.97% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58% | 2.2% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |