L’École des cotes

Burgos CF v Córdoba

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Burgos CF (Local)

Prévision 40.25%2.48cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.67%40.30%40.24%42.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.282.302.4048.78%43.78%43.48%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Córdoba (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.52%3.39cote équitable
EV +0.379%
Avantage +0.111%
Kelly +0.158%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.74%29.45%29.50%30.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.093.103.4035.71%32.34%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.23%3.31cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.540%
Kelly -0.780%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.40%30.24%30.26%31.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.653.013.003.2537.74%33.17%33.33%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV +0.379%E +0.111%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 04:49
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV +0.379%E +0.111%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 04:49
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.49%EV -3.81%E -1.59%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.98%EV -1.39%E -0.417%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 12:50
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.57%E -0.780%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 12:49
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -2.57%E -0.780%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.82%E -3.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 11:58
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -2.57%E -0.780%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:50
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -2.87%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -8.10%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 12:50
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 12:49
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.45%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.94%E -4.49%K -6.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 10:59
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.45%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -15.36%E -5.49%K -8.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 08:29
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.52%EV -6.71%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -6.89%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -1.76%E -0.540%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 12:49
Bovada2.31I 43.29%NM 39.95%EV -7.03%E -3.04%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 12:49
BetAnything2.31I 43.29%NM 39.95%EV -7.03%E -3.04%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 12:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -15.48%E -7.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 12:49
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.78%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 12:50
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.78%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 12:49
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.78%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 12:50
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.27%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 12:50
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.78%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 12:50
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 12:49
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 12:50
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 12:49
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -13.47%E -6.26%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.27%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 12:49
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 09:59
Unibet (FR)2.19I 45.66%NM 40.84%EV -11.86%E -5.41%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.32%EV -10.82%E -3.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 04:59
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.45%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 04:49
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 39.77%EV -7.83%E -3.42%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 12:49
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%EV -10.65%E -4.80%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -10.54%E -3.48%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -10.82%E -3.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 12:49
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 10:59
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 11:00
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 12:49
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 12:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -5.69%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 12:49
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 12:50
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -15.48%E -7.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 12:49
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.70%EV -17.49%E -8.53%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.49%EV -19.89%E -7.51%K -12.06%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-22 12:49
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -12.91%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 12:49
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -8.23%E -3.61%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.91%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 12:49
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -8.23%E -3.61%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.91%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 12:50
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 12:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 12:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.34%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -15.48%E -7.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -17.34%E -6.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -18.38%E -6.81%K -10.81%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-22 12:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-03-22 12:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-03-22 12:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-03-22 12:50
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-03-22 12:50
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.97%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58%2.2%2026-03-22 12:50