Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF v Zaragoza

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 15:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF (Local)

Prediction 49.85%2.01fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -5.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.05%49.95%49.82%51.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.841.851.9160.24%54.41%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zaragoza (Visit)

Prediction 23.21%4.31fair odd
EV +1.89%
Edge +0.432%
Kelly +0.559%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.99%23.16%23.22%24.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.943.904.3927.78%25.40%25.64%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.94%3.71fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.529%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.68%26.89%26.96%28.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.393.403.6634.72%29.52%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andorra CF (Local): 49.85%; Zaragoza (Visit): 23.21%; Draw: 26.94%. For Zaragoza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.63%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.99%EV +1.89%E +0.432%K +0.559%G +0.011%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.38%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.52%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -1.36%E -0.319%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.52%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -1.36%E -0.319%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -5.28%E -2.78%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 07:19
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:44
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.78%E -3.06%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.78%E -3.06%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.78%E -3.06%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.78%E -3.06%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 07:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.78%E -3.06%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 07:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.88%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.26%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:40
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.10%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-22 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 07:19
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 07:20
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.56%EV -7.28%E -3.91%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:07
BetAnything🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.56%EV -7.28%E -3.91%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:09
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 07:19
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 07:20
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 07:20
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 07:20
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -11.10%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 07:19
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.10%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.10%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:04
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 07:20
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.45%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 14:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -4.37%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 10:19
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 07:19
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.16%EV -11.26%E -6.33%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.10%EV -11.26%E -6.33%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.28%EV -11.10%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 14:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.81%EV -10.77%E -6.01%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 23.34%EV -11.34%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.85%EV -10.57%E -3.18%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 07:20
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 15:05
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:09
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.45%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.10%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-22 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.65%EV -11.26%E -6.33%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.57%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -11.10%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -12.26%E -6.97%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-22 10:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 50.40%EV -17.25%E -10.39%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.61%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.99%EV -16.49%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000%19.5%2026-02-22 14:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.56%EV -12.76%E -7.29%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -15.28%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.68%EV -12.45%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -13.76%E -7.95%K -18.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -22.42%E -7.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%20.3%2026-02-22 14:43
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-02-22 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-02-22 15:10
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%2.3%2026-02-22 15:10