La escuela de los momios

Andorra CF v Zaragoza

Inicio: 2026-02-22 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Andorra CF (Local)

Predicción 49.85%2.01momio equitativo
EV -4.78%
Ventaja -2.50%
Kelly -5.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.05%49.95%49.82%51.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.841.851.9160.24%54.41%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Zaragoza (Visitante)

Predicción 23.21%4.31momio equitativo
EV +1.89%
Ventaja +0.432%
Kelly +0.559%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.99%23.16%23.22%24.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.943.904.3927.78%25.40%25.64%22.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.94%3.71momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.385%
Kelly -0.529%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.68%26.89%26.96%28.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.393.403.6634.72%29.52%29.41%27.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.63%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.99%EV +1.89%E +0.432%K +0.559%G +0.011%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.38%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 15:05
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.52%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -1.36%E -0.319%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.52%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -1.36%E -0.319%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 15:10
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -5.28%E -2.78%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 15:40
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 14:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 07:19
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 15:05
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:45
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:44
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.78%E -3.06%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 07:20
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.78%E -3.06%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 07:20
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.78%E -3.06%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 07:20
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.78%E -3.06%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 07:19
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.78%E -3.06%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 07:19
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.88%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.26%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:40
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.10%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-22 14:45
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 07:19
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 07:20
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 49.56%EV -7.28%E -3.91%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:07
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 49.56%EV -7.28%E -3.91%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:09
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 07:19
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 07:20
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 07:20
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 07:20
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -11.10%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 15:10
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 07:19
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.10%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:09
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.10%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:04
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 07:20
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.45%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 14:44
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -4.37%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 10:19
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 07:20
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 07:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.16%EV -11.26%E -6.33%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.10%EV -11.26%E -6.33%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.28%EV -11.10%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 14:59
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.81%EV -10.77%E -6.01%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 23.34%EV -11.34%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.85%EV -10.57%E -3.18%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 07:20
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 15:05
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:09
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.45%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 15:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.10%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-22 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 49.65%EV -11.26%E -6.33%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.57%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -11.10%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 07:20
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -12.26%E -6.97%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-22 10:19
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.40%EV -17.25%E -10.39%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.61%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.99%EV -16.49%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000%19.5%2026-02-22 14:45
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.56%EV -12.76%E -7.29%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -15.28%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.68%EV -12.45%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -13.76%E -7.95%K -18.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -22.42%E -7.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%20.3%2026-02-22 14:43
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-02-22 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-02-22 15:10
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%2.3%2026-02-22 15:10