Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF v Sporting Gijón

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:15 UTC

Final: Andorra CF 1–3 Sporting Gijón

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF (Local)

Prediction 45.71%2.19fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.41%45.73%45.67%46.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.012.002.1154.05%49.83%50.00%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sporting Gijón (Visit)

Prediction 27.00%3.70fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.329%
Kelly +0.449%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.78%26.93%27.01%28.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.393.403.7531.75%29.53%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.29%3.66fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.41%27.33%27.32%28.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.353.5032.26%29.96%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andorra CF (Local): 45.71%; Sporting Gijón (Visit): 27.00%; Draw: 27.29%. For Sporting Gijón (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.88%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV +1.24%E +0.329%K +0.449%G +0.006%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -6.67%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 14:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.74%E -3.31%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.46%E -0.401%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 14:11
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.74%E -3.31%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.46%E -0.401%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 14:10
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.74%E -3.31%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.46%E -0.401%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 14:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.81%E -0.782%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 14:10
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:02
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.91%E -2.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:11
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.25%EV -8.11%E -4.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.18%EV -6.67%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 14:01
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.86%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:06
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 10:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 10:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 10:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:11
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:11
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 14:01
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -9.49%E -4.79%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 10:45
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.56%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 14:01
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.56%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.56%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 14:06
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.27%EV -8.11%E -4.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 14:01
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:45
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:45
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:45
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:49
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.86%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.26%EV -9.49%E -4.79%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.26%EV -9.49%E -4.79%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 14:02
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.86%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 14:11
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -11.77%E -6.10%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-19 14:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.59%EV -10.40%E -5.31%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.33%EV -11.72%E -3.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:11
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:11
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.86%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.33%EV -10.40%E -5.31%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 10:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.25%EV -9.49%E -4.79%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -13.61%E -4.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.18%EV -15.43%E -8.34%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.12%EV -14.96%E -4.75%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-19 14:02
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.39%EV -14.06%E -7.48%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.09%EV -14.96%E -4.75%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -15.40%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-09-19 14:02
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75%0.9%2026-09-19 14:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-19 14:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-19 14:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-19 14:10
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%3.9%2026-09-19 14:06