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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Andorra CF v Sporting Gijón

Início: 2026-09-19 14:15 UTC

Final: Andorra CF 1–3 Sporting Gijón

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andorra CF (Local)

Previsão 45.71%2.19odd justa
EV -3.54%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -3.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.41%45.73%45.67%46.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.852.012.002.1154.05%49.83%50.00%47.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sporting Gijón (Visitante)

Previsão 27.00%3.70odd justa
EV +1.24%
Vantagem +0.329%
Kelly +0.449%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.78%26.93%27.01%28.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.393.403.7531.75%29.53%29.41%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.29%3.66odd justa
EV -4.49%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.41%27.33%27.32%28.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.343.353.5032.26%29.96%29.85%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Andorra CF (Local): 45.71%; Sporting Gijón (Visitante): 27.00%; Empate: 27.29%. Para Sporting Gijón (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.70. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.24%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.88%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV +1.24%E +0.329%K +0.449%G +0.006%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -6.67%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 14:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.74%E -3.31%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.46%E -0.401%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 14:11
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.74%E -3.31%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.46%E -0.401%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 14:10
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.74%E -3.31%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.46%E -0.401%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 14:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.81%E -0.782%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 14:10
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:02
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.91%E -2.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:11
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.25%EV -8.11%E -4.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.18%EV -6.67%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 14:01
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.86%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:06
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 10:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 10:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 10:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:11
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:11
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 14:01
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -9.49%E -4.79%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 10:45
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.56%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 14:01
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.56%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.56%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 14:06
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.27%EV -8.11%E -4.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 14:01
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:45
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:45
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:45
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:49
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.86%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.26%EV -9.49%E -4.79%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.26%EV -9.49%E -4.79%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 14:02
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.86%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 14:11
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -11.77%E -6.10%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-19 14:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.59%EV -10.40%E -5.31%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.33%EV -11.72%E -3.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:11
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.57%E -4.29%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:11
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.86%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.33%EV -10.40%E -5.31%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 10:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.25%EV -9.49%E -4.79%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -13.61%E -4.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.18%EV -15.43%E -8.34%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.12%EV -14.96%E -4.75%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-19 14:02
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.39%EV -14.06%E -7.48%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.09%EV -14.96%E -4.75%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -15.40%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-09-19 14:02
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75%0.9%2026-09-19 14:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-19 14:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-19 14:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-19 14:10
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%3.9%2026-09-19 14:06