Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF v Sporting Gijón

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 15:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF (Local)

Prediction 41.16%2.43fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.56%41.12%41.22%42.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.252.3748.78%44.80%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sporting Gijón (Visit)

Prediction 30.14%3.32fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.824%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.14%30.15%30.09%31.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.023.013.2337.04%33.07%33.22%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.70%3.48fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.711%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.58%28.73%28.69%30.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.183.203.4035.71%31.47%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andorra CF (Local): 41.16%; Sporting Gijón (Visit): 30.14%; Draw: 28.70%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -2.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.86%EV -2.44%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.98%EV -2.66%E -0.824%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.17%EV -4.71%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 15:00
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 15:00
BetAnything🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 15:00
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.32%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.57%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 10:00
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.32%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 12:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.32%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.32%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -5.38%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -9.88%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 15:00
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.32%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:09
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.32%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 15:00
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.15%E -2.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 14:35
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.15%E -2.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.15%E -2.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 14:35
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.15%E -2.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 14:35
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.15%E -2.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 15:00
Bovada🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.57%EV -6.56%E -2.89%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:19
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -11.10%E -3.76%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 14:35
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 14:50
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -8.20%E -3.68%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -11.10%E -3.76%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 14:35
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -8.62%E -3.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -8.62%E -3.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 14:50
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 14:40
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-08 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-08 14:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 14:54
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 14:53
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.57%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.60%EV -8.99%E -2.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 14:44
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.84%EV -12.32%E -5.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.41%EV -8.69%E -2.87%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 14:47
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.56%E -6.46%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 14:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -13.56%E -6.46%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -12.46%E -4.09%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-08 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -13.56%E -6.46%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -18.63%E -6.90%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -19.64%E -7.01%K -10.91%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-08 15:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -15.61%E -7.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.58%EV -15.61%E -7.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.71%EV -15.62%E -5.58%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.71%EV -19.64%E -7.01%K -10.91%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-08 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65%0.7%2026-03-08 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-03-08 15:10
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-03-08 15:10
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-03-08 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-03-08 15:10
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%3.1%2026-03-08 15:10