La escuela de los momios

Andorra CF v Sporting Gijón

Inicio: 2026-03-08 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Andorra CF (Local)

Predicción 41.16%2.43momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.56%41.12%41.22%42.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.232.252.3748.78%44.80%44.44%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sporting Gijón (Visitante)

Predicción 30.14%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -0.824%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.14%30.15%30.09%31.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.023.013.2337.04%33.07%33.22%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.70%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.711%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.58%28.73%28.69%30.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.183.203.4035.71%31.47%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.86%EV -2.44%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.98%EV -2.66%E -0.824%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.17%EV -4.71%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 15:00
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 14:35
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 14:35
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 14:35
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 14:35
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 15:00
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 15:00
BetAnything2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 15:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.32%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.57%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 10:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.32%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 12:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.32%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 15:00
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.32%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -5.38%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -9.88%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 15:00
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.32%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:09
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.32%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 15:00
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.15%E -2.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 14:35
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.15%E -2.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 14:35
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.15%E -2.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 14:35
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.15%E -2.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 14:35
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.15%E -2.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 15:00
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 40.57%EV -6.56%E -2.89%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 14:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 14:55
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:19
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:10
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:50
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:40
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:03
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -11.10%E -3.76%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 14:35
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 14:50
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -8.20%E -3.68%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -11.10%E -3.76%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 14:35
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -8.62%E -3.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 14:35
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -8.62%E -3.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 14:50
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:24
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 14:40
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-08 14:35
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-08 14:35
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 14:54
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 14:53
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 14:59
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 14:35
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.57%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.60%EV -8.99%E -2.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 14:44
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:49
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.84%EV -12.32%E -5.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.41%EV -8.69%E -2.87%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 14:47
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.56%E -6.46%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 14:40
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -13.56%E -6.46%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -12.46%E -4.09%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-08 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -13.56%E -6.46%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -18.63%E -6.90%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -19.64%E -7.01%K -10.91%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-08 15:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -15.61%E -7.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 14:50
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.58%EV -15.61%E -7.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.71%EV -15.62%E -5.58%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.71%EV -19.64%E -7.01%K -10.91%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-08 15:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65%0.7%2026-03-08 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-03-08 15:10
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-03-08 15:10
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-03-08 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-03-08 15:10
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%3.1%2026-03-08 15:10