Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF v Real Valladolid CF

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 12:00 UTC

Final: Andorra CF 1–0 Real Valladolid CF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF (Local)

Prediction 42.72%2.34fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.75%42.66%43.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.55%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Valladolid CF (Visit)

Prediction 29.29%3.41fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.564%
Kelly -0.804%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.04%29.21%29.32%30.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.143.133.3534.72%31.81%31.90%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.99%3.57fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.578%
Kelly -0.809%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.21%28.04%28.02%29.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.253.253.5035.71%30.73%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andorra CF (Local): 42.72%; Real Valladolid CF (Visit): 29.29%; Draw: 27.99%. For Real Valladolid CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -1.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.46%EV -2.60%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.98%EV -2.18%E -0.654%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 11:50
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.02%E -0.578%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 11:30
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.35%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 10:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -1.89%E -0.564%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -1.89%E -0.564%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 11:50
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -1.89%E -0.564%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 11:50
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 11:25
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 11:25
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 11:54
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:50
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:30
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -7.73%E -3.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:35
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.35%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 11:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.35%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 11:40
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 11:30
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 11:35
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 11:00
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 11:00
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 11:00
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 11:01
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 11:30
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -8.63%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 11:30
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.58%EV -8.58%E -4.01%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -8.58%E -4.01%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:01
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.58%E -4.01%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 11:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 11:05
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 11:05
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 11:05
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 11:35
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.57%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.50%EV -11.26%E -3.72%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:40
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.72%EV -12.00%E -5.82%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 11:01
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.42%E -6.06%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-19 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.42%E -6.06%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -15.07%E -5.20%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-19 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -14.56%E -7.28%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -15.66%E -5.44%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -21.62%E -7.72%K -12.01%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-19 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.6%2026-04-19 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-19 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-19 11:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-19 11:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.1%2026-04-19 11:05
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-04-19 11:50