La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Andorra CF v Real Valladolid CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Andorra CF (Local)
Predicción 42.72%2.34momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.75%42.66%43.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.55%46.51%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Valladolid CF (Visitante)
Predicción 29.29%3.41momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -0.564%
Kelly -0.804%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.04%29.21%29.32%30.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.143.133.3534.72%31.81%31.90%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.99%3.57momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.578%
Kelly -0.809%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.21%28.04%28.02%29.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.253.253.5035.71%30.73%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.46%EV -2.60%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.98%EV -2.18%E -0.654%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-19 11:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.02%E -0.578%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.35%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -1.89%E -0.564%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -1.89%E -0.564%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 11:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -1.89%E -0.564%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 11:25 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 11:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 11:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 11:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 11:25 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 11:54 |
| Bovada | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -7.73%E -3.58%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.35%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 11:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.35%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 11:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 11:00 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 11:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 11:00 |
| betPARX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 11:01 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -8.63%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 11:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.58%EV -8.58%E -4.01%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -8.58%E -4.01%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 11:01 |
| LeoVegas | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.58%E -4.01%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 11:00 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 11:05 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 11:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 11:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-19 11:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.57%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.50%EV -11.26%E -3.72%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 11:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.72%EV -12.00%E -5.82%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-19 11:01 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.42%E -6.06%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-19 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.42%E -6.06%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -15.07%E -5.20%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -14.56%E -7.28%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -15.66%E -5.44%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -21.62%E -7.72%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 11:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 11:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-04-19 11:50 |