Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.64
assuming max odds 2.73
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andorra CF (Local): 36.50%; Las Palmas (Visit): 35.26%; Draw: 28.24%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.66%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.45%EV -3.74%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV -2.02%E -0.581%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-10 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -6.20%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -6.20%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -6.20%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -4.79%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -1.17%E -0.334%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -6.20%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -5.50%E -2.05%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -5.50%E -2.05%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.38%EV -7.97%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 11:37 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.61%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 11:13 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.85%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.85%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 11:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.85%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 11:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.39%EV -12.55%E -5.06%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.88%E -4.55%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -18.90%E -8.22%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -18.68%E -6.48%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-05-10 11:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -14.22%E -6.05%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.85%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -14.22%E -6.05%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -13.88%E -4.55%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.82% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.82% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.82% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.82% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |