La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Andorra CF v Las Palmas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Andorra CF (Local)
Predicción 36.50%2.74momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.76%36.50%36.55%37.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.522.522.6442.55%39.66%39.68%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Las Palmas (Visitante)
Predicción 35.26%2.84momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.23%35.28%35.27%36.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.602.602.7343.48%38.46%38.46%36.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.24%3.54momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.334%
Kelly -0.467%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.26%28.22%28.17%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.223.203.5034.72%31.06%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.66%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.45%EV -3.74%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV -2.02%E -0.581%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-10 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -6.20%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -6.20%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -6.20%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:14 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -4.79%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -1.17%E -0.334%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -6.92%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -6.20%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 11:40 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -5.50%E -2.05%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -5.50%E -2.05%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Bovada | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.38%EV -7.97%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 11:37 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -6.56%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.61%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 11:13 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.85%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.85%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 11:14 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.85%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 11:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.32%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.39%EV -12.55%E -5.06%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.88%E -4.55%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -18.90%E -8.22%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -18.68%E -6.48%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-05-10 11:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -14.22%E -6.05%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.85%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -14.22%E -6.05%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -13.88%E -4.55%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.82% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.82% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.82% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.82% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Smarkets | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |