A Escola das Odds

Almería v Leganés

Início: 2026-04-05 16:32 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Almería (Local)

Previsão 59.70%1.68odd justa
EV -4.48%
Vantagem -2.80%
Kelly -7.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.27%59.75%59.55%61.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.421.531.531.6070.42%65.42%65.36%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Leganés (Visitante)

Previsão 17.84%5.61odd justa
EV +7.02%
Vantagem +1.17%
Kelly +1.40%
Crescimento +0.098%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.90%17.76%18.06%19.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.245.286.0022.22%19.10%18.96%16.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.46%4.45odd justa
EV -3.41%
Vantagem -0.792%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.16%22.50%22.39%24.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.973.954.3029.41%25.17%25.32%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.03%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV +7.02%E +1.17%K +1.40%G +0.098%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.90%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 16:29
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.78%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV +3.45%E +0.595%K +0.719%G +0.025%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.78%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV +3.45%E +0.595%K +0.719%G +0.025%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 16:30
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +2.56%E +0.445%K +0.539%G +0.014%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 16:30
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -9.85%E -6.52%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV +2.56%E +0.445%K +0.539%G +0.014%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV +2.56%E +0.445%K +0.539%G +0.014%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 16:30
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.18%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.89%EV +1.67%E +0.292%K +0.355%G +0.006%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 16:29
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.18%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.89%EV +1.67%E +0.292%K +0.355%G +0.006%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 16:29
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.09%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV +1.67%E +0.292%K +0.355%G +0.006%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 16:29
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV +1.67%E +0.292%K +0.355%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:29
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -0.117%E -0.021%K -0.026%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 16:26
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -0.117%E -0.021%K -0.026%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 16:29
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.54%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.10%EV -0.831%E -0.149%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 16:29
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -3.41%E -0.792%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:29
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.87%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 16:30
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 16:30
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 16:30
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 16:30
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 16:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 16:29
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 59.81%EV -9.85%E -6.52%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -3.68%E -0.682%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 16:30
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.61%EV -3.68%E -0.682%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.61%EV -3.68%E -0.682%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 16:30
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.61%EV -3.68%E -0.682%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 16:30
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 59.58%EV -11.05%E -7.41%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.75%EV -5.47%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 16:30
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 16:29
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 59.78%EV -15.23%E -10.72%K -36.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.64%EV -9.04%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.58%EV -19.13%E -5.31%K -7.36%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-05 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -6.87%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 16:29
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 16:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -3.41%E -0.792%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 16:30
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 16:29
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 58.72%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 16:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 16:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 16:30
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 16:30
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.29%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.57%EV -11.71%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 16:29
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -12.60%E -2.57%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 16:30
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.79%EV -13.43%E -9.27%K -29.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.69%EV -12.60%E -2.57%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.52%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-05 16:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.61%EV -13.49%E -2.78%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.54%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.41%EV -13.49%E -2.78%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -9.02%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 16:29
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.39%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 16:29
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.39%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.39%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 16:29
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -15.28%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 16:30
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -16.17%E -3.44%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -9.26%E -6.09%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.88%EV -16.17%E -3.44%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.27%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -17.95%E -3.90%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -16.89%E -4.56%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -19.74%E -4.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.03%E -9.74%K -31.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -19.74%E -4.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -23.62%E -6.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%21.1%2026-04-05 16:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-04-05 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-04-05 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-04-05 16:30
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-04-05 16:30
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.42%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-04-05 16:30
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%3.1%2026-04-05 16:30