La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Almería v Leganés
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Almería (Local)
Predicción 59.70%1.68momio equitativo
EV -4.48%
Ventaja -2.80%
Kelly -7.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.27%59.75%59.55%61.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.531.531.6070.42%65.42%65.36%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leganés (Visitante)
Predicción 17.84%5.61momio equitativo
EV +7.02%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.40%
Crecimiento +0.098%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.90%17.76%18.06%19.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.245.286.0022.22%19.10%18.96%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.46%4.45momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -0.792%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.16%22.50%22.39%24.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.973.954.3029.41%25.17%25.32%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.03%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV +7.02%E +1.17%K +1.40%G +0.098% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.90%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.78%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV +3.45%E +0.595%K +0.719%G +0.025% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.78%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV +3.45%E +0.595%K +0.719%G +0.025% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +2.56%E +0.445%K +0.539%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -9.85%E -6.52%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV +2.56%E +0.445%K +0.539%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV +2.56%E +0.445%K +0.539%G +0.014% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.18%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.89%EV +1.67%E +0.292%K +0.355%G +0.006% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.18%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.89%EV +1.67%E +0.292%K +0.355%G +0.006% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.09%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV +1.67%E +0.292%K +0.355%G +0.006% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV +1.67%E +0.292%K +0.355%G +0.006% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -0.117%E -0.021%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 16:26 |
| BetAnything | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -0.117%E -0.021%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.54%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.10%EV -0.831%E -0.149%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -3.41%E -0.792%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.87%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.81%EV -9.85%E -6.52%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -3.68%E -0.682%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.61%EV -3.68%E -0.682%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.61%EV -3.68%E -0.682%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.61%EV -3.68%E -0.682%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.58%EV -11.05%E -7.41%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.75%EV -5.47%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 59.78%EV -15.23%E -10.72%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.64%EV -9.04%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.58%EV -19.13%E -5.31%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -6.87%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -3.41%E -0.792%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.72%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.29%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.57%EV -11.71%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -12.60%E -2.57%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.79%EV -13.43%E -9.27%K -29.85%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.69%EV -12.60%E -2.57%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.52%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.61%EV -13.49%E -2.78%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.54%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.41%EV -13.49%E -2.78%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -9.02%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.39%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.39%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.39%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -15.28%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -16.17%E -3.44%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -9.26%E -6.09%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.88%EV -16.17%E -3.44%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.27%EV -8.66%E -5.66%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -17.95%E -3.90%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -16.89%E -4.56%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.45%E -6.97%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -19.74%E -4.39%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-05 16:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.03%E -9.74%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -19.74%E -4.39%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -23.62%E -6.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.42% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |