Language:English
Almería v Córdoba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Almería (Local)
Prediction 43.94%2.28fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.08%43.93%43.99%47.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.052.052.2253.48%48.89%48.78%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Córdoba (Visit)
Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV +2.24%
Edge +0.639%
Kelly +0.894%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.77%29.16%29.30%30.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.213.203.5035.71%31.19%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.85%3.72fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.547%
Kelly -0.753%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%26.91%26.71%28.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.433.403.6533.33%29.15%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Almería (Local): 43.94%; Córdoba (Visit): 29.21%; Draw: 26.85%. For Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 08:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -13.44%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -13.44%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -13.44%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -13.44%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -13.44%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -0.686%E -0.202%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -15.20%E -7.87%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.686%E -0.202%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -15.20%E -7.87%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.686%E -0.202%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -15.20%E -7.87%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.686%E -0.202%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -15.20%E -7.87%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.686%E -0.202%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.36%EV -15.20%E -7.87%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -0.686%E -0.202%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.58%EV -2.45%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -1.27%E -0.376%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -6.56%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -15.64%E -8.14%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -2.15%E -0.641%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -15.64%E -8.14%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -2.15%E -0.641%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -17.83%E -9.54%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -6.85%E -3.23%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -4.19%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -9.25%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.77%EV -4.65%E -2.14%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -5.65%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -4.65%E -2.14%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 08:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -6.41%E -3.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -6.41%E -3.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 08:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 08:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 08:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -9.05%E -4.37%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 08:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.74%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 08:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.94%EV -10.80%E -5.32%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.44%EV -11.49%E -3.79%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.76%EV -13.88%E -7.08%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.05%EV -11.79%E -3.90%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 14:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -14.32%E -7.34%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.11%EV -16.51%E -8.69%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.41%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.48%EV -18.11%E -5.94%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-02-21 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -16.08%E -8.42%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -18.21%E -6.50%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -19.45%E -6.48%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-02-21 08:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |