L’École des cotes

Almería v Córdoba

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Almería (Local)

Prévision 43.94%2.28cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.08%43.93%43.99%47.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.052.052.2253.48%48.89%48.78%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Córdoba (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.21%3.42cote équitable
EV +2.24%
Avantage +0.639%
Kelly +0.894%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.77%29.16%29.30%30.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.213.203.5035.71%31.19%31.25%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.85%3.72cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.547%
Kelly -0.753%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.28%26.91%26.71%28.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.433.403.6533.33%29.15%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 08:59
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 08:59
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -13.44%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 08:10
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -13.44%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 08:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -13.44%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 08:10
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -13.44%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 08:10
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -13.44%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 08:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -0.686%E -0.202%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 13:49
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -15.20%E -7.87%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.686%E -0.202%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 08:10
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -15.20%E -7.87%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.686%E -0.202%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 08:10
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -15.20%E -7.87%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.686%E -0.202%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 08:10
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -15.20%E -7.87%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.686%E -0.202%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.36%EV -15.20%E -7.87%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -0.686%E -0.202%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 08:10
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.58%EV -2.45%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -1.27%E -0.376%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -6.56%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 17:10
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -15.64%E -8.14%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -2.15%E -0.641%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 08:10
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -15.64%E -8.14%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -2.15%E -0.641%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 08:10
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 13:39
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -17.83%E -9.54%K -20.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 08:10
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -6.85%E -3.23%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -4.19%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -9.25%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:00
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 16:25
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 13:40
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.77%EV -4.65%E -2.14%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -5.65%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:20
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -4.65%E -2.14%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 08:09
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 17:04
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 17:10
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -6.41%E -3.01%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 17:19
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -6.41%E -3.01%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 17:05
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-21 14:30
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 08:09
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 08:09
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 08:09
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 08:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 17:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 08:10
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -9.05%E -4.37%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 08:09
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 14:15
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.74%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 13:40
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 08:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 17:10
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.94%EV -10.80%E -5.32%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.44%EV -11.49%E -3.79%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 17:25
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.76%EV -13.88%E -7.08%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.05%EV -11.79%E -3.90%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 17:25
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 16:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 14:16
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 14:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.92%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 14:15
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -14.32%E -7.34%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-21 14:00
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 17:25
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 44.11%EV -16.51%E -8.69%K -18.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.41%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.48%EV -18.11%E -5.94%K -8.83%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-21 16:35
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 08:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -16.08%E -8.42%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -18.21%E -6.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -19.45%E -6.48%K -9.72%G +0.000%21.4%2026-02-21 08:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-02-21 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-02-21 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-02-21 17:25
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-02-21 17:25
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-02-21 17:25