The School of Odds
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Almería v Andorra CF

2026-11-14 17:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Almería (Local)

Prediction 54.56%1.83fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -6.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.02%54.54%54.51%56.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.651.671.7566.23%60.44%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Andorra CF (Visit)

Prediction 21.61%4.63fair odd
EV -0.610%
Edge -0.133%
Kelly -0.169%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.37%21.61%21.68%23.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.274.354.6026.67%23.42%22.99%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.83%4.20fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.500%
Kelly -0.661%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.83%23.85%23.81%24.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.863.904.1129.41%25.91%25.64%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Almería (Local): 54.56%; Andorra CF (Visit): 21.61%; Draw: 23.83%. For Andorra CF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.63. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.60, with an expected value of -0.610%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.95%EV -4.52%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.66%EV -4.07%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.40%EV -2.06%E -0.500%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 16:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.15%E -3.58%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.93%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.15%E -3.58%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.41%E -2.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -6.70%E -3.92%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -2.77%E -0.616%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -6.70%E -3.92%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.41%E -2.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.84%EV -2.55%E -0.566%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.86%EV -6.11%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.25%E -2.20%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.25%E -2.20%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 16:05
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.25%E -2.20%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-08 16:05
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.25%E -2.20%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-08 16:10
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -13.57%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-08 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -13.57%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-08 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -7.79%E -4.61%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -7.09%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.36%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 16:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.62%EV -7.79%E -4.61%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.17%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-08 16:15
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -8.33%E -4.96%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.93%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-08 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.77%E -0.616%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-08 16:30
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.25%E -2.20%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-08 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -18.98%E -5.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -16.59%E -4.74%K -6.64%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-08 16:14
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -9.97%E -6.04%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.610%E -0.133%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -9.97%E -6.04%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.610%E -0.133%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -9.97%E -6.04%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.610%E -0.133%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -9.97%E -6.04%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.610%E -0.133%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -9.97%E -6.04%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.610%E -0.133%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 15:40
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -9.97%E -6.04%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -4.93%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-08 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.66%EV -10.52%E -6.41%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -15.73%E -4.03%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-08 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.67%EV -12.15%E -7.55%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 21.99%EV -15.09%E -3.84%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.34%EV -15.40%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-08 16:10
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -12.70%E -7.94%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -4.93%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-08 15:40
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -12.70%E -7.94%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -4.93%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-08 15:40
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -12.70%E -7.94%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -4.93%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-08 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.44%EV -12.70%E -7.94%K -21.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -18.98%E -5.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.75%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-08 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.55%EV -13.79%E -8.73%K -23.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -6.01%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-08 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.55%EV -13.79%E -8.73%K -23.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -6.01%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-08 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.71%EV -14.34%E -9.13%K -25.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -6.01%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 53.66%EV -15.97%E -10.37%K -29.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.04%EV -18.98%E -5.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.30%EV -18.98%E -5.58%K -7.91%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-08 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.75%EV -17.61%E -11.66%K -34.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.40%EV -9.25%E -2.20%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-08 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 53.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.57%16.3%2026-11-08 16:10

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