L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Almería v Andorra CF

2026-11-14 17:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Almería (Local)

Prévision 55.53%1.80cote équitable
EV -5.59%
Avantage -3.29%
Kelly -7.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.18%55.50%55.82%57.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.641.651.7066.23%61.09%60.61%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Andorra CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.15%4.73cote équitable
EV -0.603%
Avantage -0.128%
Kelly -0.163%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.02%21.20%20.96%22.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.334.404.7026.32%23.11%22.73%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.32%4.29cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.323%
Kelly -0.423%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.68%23.31%23.21%24.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.923.954.2328.57%25.54%25.32%23.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Almería (Local) : 55.53% ; Andorra CF (Visiteur) : 21.15% ; Match nul : 23.32%. Pour Andorra CF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.73. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 4.70, pour une espérance de -0.603% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.43%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.90%EV -2.93%E -0.638%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.68%EV -1.37%E -0.323%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:50
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.77%EV -3.14%E -0.686%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -4.63%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.90%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.90%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.83%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.83%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-08 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -13.29%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-08 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -19.64%E -5.17%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -18.39%E -5.25%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-08 16:48
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -7.81%E -4.71%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -7.90%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-08 16:48
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.37%E -5.07%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -0.603%E -0.128%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 16:55
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -8.37%E -5.07%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.72%E -0.591%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -8.37%E -5.07%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.72%E -0.591%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -8.37%E -5.07%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.72%E -0.591%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -8.37%E -5.07%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.72%E -0.591%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -8.37%E -5.07%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.72%E -0.591%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.39%EV -8.37%E -5.07%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -5.89%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -8.37%E -5.07%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -4.83%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 16:55
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -8.37%E -5.07%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-08 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.01%EV -8.37%E -5.07%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -9.06%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-08 16:49
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.01%EV -8.37%E -5.07%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -9.06%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-08 16:49
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -10.03%E -6.19%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.83%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-08 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -11.15%E -6.97%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -7.90%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-08 15:40
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -11.15%E -6.97%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -7.90%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-08 15:40
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -11.15%E -6.97%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -7.90%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-08 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.76%EV -11.15%E -6.97%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.18%EV -16.46%E -4.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-08 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.55%EV -12.26%E -7.76%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -8.00%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-08 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.55%EV -12.26%E -7.76%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -8.00%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-08 15:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.64%EV -12.26%E -7.76%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 23.78%EV -15.36%E -4.23%K -5.84%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-08 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.09%EV -12.26%E -7.76%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.49%EV -19.64%E -5.17%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.42%EV -14.89%E -4.08%K -5.62%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-08 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.71%EV -12.81%E -8.16%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -8.00%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-08 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.75%EV -16.14%E -10.69%K -31.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.40%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 54.84%EV -16.14%E -10.69%K -31.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.51%EV -18.58%E -4.83%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.66%EV -18.39%E -5.25%K -7.36%G +0.000%20.8%2026-11-08 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 53.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%16.0%2026-11-08 16:50

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