A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

AD Ceuta FC v Real Valladolid CF

Início: 2026-09-20 14:15 UTC

Final: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Real Valladolid CF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

AD Ceuta FC (Local)

Previsão 30.20%3.31odd justa
EV -0.653%
Vantagem -0.198%
Kelly -0.285%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.68%30.20%30.15%32.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.632.993.003.2938.02%33.44%33.33%30.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Real Valladolid CF (Visitante)

Previsão 40.35%2.48odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -1.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.91%40.40%40.31%41.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.282.302.4148.78%43.79%43.48%41.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.45%3.40odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -0.848%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.14%29.40%29.53%31.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.123.133.3034.48%32.00%32.00%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: AD Ceuta FC (Local): 30.20%; Real Valladolid CF (Visitante): 40.35%; Empate: 29.45%. Para AD Ceuta FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.31. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.29, com valor esperado de -0.653%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.84%EV -0.653%E -0.198%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -8.41%E -3.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.37%EV -4.86%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:14
Pinnacle🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -2.16%E -0.667%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.16%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV -4.86%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 14:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 14:09
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.23%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 14:09
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 14:04
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.68%EV -8.81%E -3.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 14:13
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -2.80%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 14:09
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -8.41%E -3.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 14:04
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 14:09
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.64%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 14:09
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:09
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -11.23%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:13
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -11.23%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:13
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.64%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:14
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.58%E -5.03%K -7.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -2.80%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 14:09
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 14:09
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 14:14
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 14:09
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 14:09
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:09
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.64%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.64%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.64%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:09
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.64%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:09
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.23%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.64%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 14:09
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.58%E -5.03%K -7.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 14:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.32%EV -10.43%E -4.70%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 14:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 30.04%EV -11.83%E -4.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.42%EV -12.44%E -5.73%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.54%EV -12.52%E -4.22%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-20 14:04
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.23%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 14:14
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -13.03%E -4.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.80%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -13.03%E -4.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.80%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -13.03%E -4.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.80%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -13.03%E -4.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.80%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -13.03%E -4.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.80%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -13.94%E -4.89%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 14:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 29.79%EV -13.94%E -4.89%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.42%EV -17.29%E -8.43%K -16.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.78%EV -13.11%E -4.44%K -6.72%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-20 14:09
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 14:04
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 14:04
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 14:04
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 14:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 14:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -16.96%E -6.17%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 14:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -16.96%E -6.17%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -16.96%E -6.17%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 14:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -20.58%E -7.83%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -11.23%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -11.64%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 14:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-09-20 14:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-09-20 14:09
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-09-20 14:09
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-09-20 14:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.1%2026-09-20 14:14
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%2.5%2026-09-20 14:14