A Escola das OddsPortuguês
AD Ceuta FC v Albacete
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Previsão 90.95%1.10odd justa
EV -0.865%
Vantagem -0.793%
Kelly -9.61%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.12%90.54%90.91%97.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.041.041.09100.00%96.18%96.15%91.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Albacete (Visitante)
Previsão 0.89%112.64odd justa
EV +788.69%
Vantagem +0.788%
Kelly +0.789%
Crescimento +6.22%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1001.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
0.10%0.95%0.93%2.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
34.00155.64100.001001.002.94%0.64%1.00%0.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 8.16%12.25odd justa
EV +275.47%
Vantagem +5.99%
Kelly +6.12%
Crescimento +16.86%
pressupondo odds máximas de 46.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
2.13%8.51%8.16%15.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.0012.6010.0046.0016.67%7.94%10.00%2.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (33 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.78%EV -9.05%E -9.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1001.00I 0.10%NM 0.10%EV +788.69%E +0.788%K +0.789%G +6.22% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +275.47%E +5.99%K +6.12%G +16.86% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| FanDuel | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.18%EV -8.14%E -8.06%K -814.07%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.96%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +177.52%E +5.22%K +5.38%G +9.55% | 2.9% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| Sky Bet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.39%EV -9.05%E -9.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.94%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +112.22%E +4.32%K +4.49%G +5.04% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| Betway | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.98%EV -7.23%E -7.09%K -361.56%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.64%EV +38.76%E +2.28%K +2.42%G +0.939% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| Bovada | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.86%EV -7.23%E -7.09%K -361.56%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.29%EV -63.60%E -1.55%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV +30.60%E +1.91%K +2.04%G +0.624% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.06%EV -9.05%E -9.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 126.00I 0.79%NM 0.74%EV +11.86%E +0.094%K +0.095%G +0.011% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +22.44%E +1.50%K +1.60%G +0.360% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| Betsson | 1.00I 100.00%NM 92.89%EV -9.05%E -9.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.92%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +22.44%E +1.50%K +1.60%G +0.360% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.86%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 400.00I 0.25%NM 0.24%EV +255.12%E +0.638%K +0.639%G +1.63% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.90%EV +14.27%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.157% | 3.5% | 2026-05-30 16:12 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.85%EV -6.32%E -6.14%K -210.72%G +0.000% | 300.00I 0.33%NM 0.32%EV +166.34%E +0.554%K +0.556%G +0.925% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.83%EV +14.27%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.157% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| BoyleSports | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.81%EV -6.32%E -6.14%K -210.72%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.40%EV -40.52%E -0.605%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -2.05%E -0.171%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 16:08 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.43%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.94%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -10.21%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 16:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.58%EV -6.32%E -6.14%K -210.72%G +0.000% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93%EV -11.22%E -0.112%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -10.21%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| Coolbet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.82%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93%EV -11.22%E -0.112%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.25%EV -17.56%E -1.74%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| Casumo | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.16%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.16%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| betPARX | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.16%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.16%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.65%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.65%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Grosvenor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.65%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| TABtouch | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.65%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| LeoVegas | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.74%EV -6.32%E -6.14%K -210.72%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Unibet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.40%EV -7.23%E -7.09%K -361.56%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.00%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -22.46%E -2.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.40%EV -7.23%E -7.09%K -361.56%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.00%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -22.46%E -2.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.94%EV -3.59%E -3.39%K -59.89%G +0.000% | 161.00I 0.62%NM 0.59%EV +42.94%E +0.267%K +0.268%G +0.115% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -26.54%E -2.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| DraftKings | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.96%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 141.00I 0.71%NM 0.66%EV +25.18%E +0.179%K +0.180%G +0.045% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -26.54%E -2.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.03%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 76.00I 1.32%NM 1.20%EV -32.53%E -0.428%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -30.62%E -3.60%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Bet Victor | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.84%EV -1.77%E -1.64%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.92%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -42.86%E -6.12%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 16:06 |
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.31%EV -1.77%E -1.64%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.68%EV -69.81%E -2.05%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -42.86%E -6.12%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 16:08 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.58%EV -1.77%E -1.64%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.36%EV -40.52%E -0.605%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -46.94%E -7.22%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.61%EV -2.68%E -2.51%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.63%EV -69.81%E -2.05%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -46.94%E -7.22%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-30 16:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.61%EV -3.59%E -3.39%K -59.89%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.22%EV -64.49%E -1.61%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.18%EV -48.98%E -7.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 16:08 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.12%EV -0.865%E -0.793%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.78%EV -54.72%E -1.07%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -51.03%E -8.50%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 16:06 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.04% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.98% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.98% | 2.0% | 2026-05-30 16:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.48% | 1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.42% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.82% | 1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.08% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.54% | 1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 16:13 |
| Smarkets | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.22% | 294.12I 0.34%NM 0.31% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.48% | 11.0% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |