مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
AD Ceuta FC v Albacete
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
AD Ceuta FC (المضيف)
التنبؤ 90.95%1.10السعر العادل
EV -0.865%
الأفضلية -0.793%
Kelly -9.61%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.09
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
83.12%90.54%90.91%97.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.041.041.09100.00%96.18%96.15%91.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Albacete (الضيف)
التنبؤ 0.89%112.64السعر العادل
EV +788.69%
الأفضلية +0.788%
Kelly +0.789%
النمو +6.22%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1001.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
0.10%0.95%0.93%2.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
34.00155.64100.001001.002.94%0.64%1.00%0.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 8.16%12.25السعر العادل
EV +275.47%
الأفضلية +5.99%
Kelly +6.12%
النمو +16.86%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 46.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
2.13%8.51%8.16%15.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.0012.6010.0046.0016.67%7.94%10.00%2.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (33 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.78%EV -9.05%E -9.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1001.00I 0.10%NM 0.10%EV +788.69%E +0.788%K +0.789%G +6.22% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +275.47%E +5.99%K +6.12%G +16.86% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| FanDuel | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.18%EV -8.14%E -8.06%K -814.07%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.96%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +177.52%E +5.22%K +5.38%G +9.55% | 2.9% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| Sky Bet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.39%EV -9.05%E -9.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.94%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +112.22%E +4.32%K +4.49%G +5.04% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| Betway | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.98%EV -7.23%E -7.09%K -361.56%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.64%EV +38.76%E +2.28%K +2.42%G +0.939% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| Bovada | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.86%EV -7.23%E -7.09%K -361.56%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.29%EV -63.60%E -1.55%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV +30.60%E +1.91%K +2.04%G +0.624% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.06%EV -9.05%E -9.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 126.00I 0.79%NM 0.74%EV +11.86%E +0.094%K +0.095%G +0.011% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +22.44%E +1.50%K +1.60%G +0.360% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| Betsson | 1.00I 100.00%NM 92.89%EV -9.05%E -9.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.92%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +22.44%E +1.50%K +1.60%G +0.360% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.86%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 400.00I 0.25%NM 0.24%EV +255.12%E +0.638%K +0.639%G +1.63% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.90%EV +14.27%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.157% | 3.5% | 2026-05-30 16:12 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.85%EV -6.32%E -6.14%K -210.72%G +0.000% | 300.00I 0.33%NM 0.32%EV +166.34%E +0.554%K +0.556%G +0.925% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.83%EV +14.27%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.157% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| BoyleSports | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.81%EV -6.32%E -6.14%K -210.72%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.40%EV -40.52%E -0.605%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -2.05%E -0.171%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 16:08 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.43%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.94%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -10.21%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 16:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.58%EV -6.32%E -6.14%K -210.72%G +0.000% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93%EV -11.22%E -0.112%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -10.21%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| Coolbet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.82%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93%EV -11.22%E -0.112%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.25%EV -17.56%E -1.74%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| Casumo | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.16%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.16%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| betPARX | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.16%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.16%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.65%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.65%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Grosvenor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.65%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| TABtouch | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.65%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| LeoVegas | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.74%EV -6.32%E -6.14%K -210.72%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Unibet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.40%EV -7.23%E -7.09%K -361.56%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.00%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -22.46%E -2.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.40%EV -7.23%E -7.09%K -361.56%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.00%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -22.46%E -2.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.94%EV -3.59%E -3.39%K -59.89%G +0.000% | 161.00I 0.62%NM 0.59%EV +42.94%E +0.267%K +0.268%G +0.115% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -26.54%E -2.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| DraftKings | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.96%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 141.00I 0.71%NM 0.66%EV +25.18%E +0.179%K +0.180%G +0.045% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -26.54%E -2.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.03%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 76.00I 1.32%NM 1.20%EV -32.53%E -0.428%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -30.62%E -3.60%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Bet Victor | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.84%EV -1.77%E -1.64%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.92%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -42.86%E -6.12%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 16:06 |
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.31%EV -1.77%E -1.64%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.68%EV -69.81%E -2.05%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -42.86%E -6.12%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 16:08 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.58%EV -1.77%E -1.64%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.36%EV -40.52%E -0.605%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -46.94%E -7.22%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.61%EV -2.68%E -2.51%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.63%EV -69.81%E -2.05%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -46.94%E -7.22%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-30 16:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.61%EV -3.59%E -3.39%K -59.89%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.22%EV -64.49%E -1.61%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.18%EV -48.98%E -7.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 16:08 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.12%EV -0.865%E -0.793%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.78%EV -54.72%E -1.07%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -51.03%E -8.50%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 16:06 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.04% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.98% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.98% | 2.0% | 2026-05-30 16:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.48% | 1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.42% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.82% | 1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.08% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.54% | 1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 16:13 |
| Smarkets | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.22% | 294.12I 0.34%NM 0.31% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.48% | 11.0% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |