L’École des cotesAD Ceuta FC v Albacete
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Prévision 90.95%1.10cote équitable
EV -0.865%
Avantage -0.793%
Kelly -9.61%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.12%90.54%90.91%97.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.041.041.09100.00%96.18%96.15%91.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Albacete (Visiteur)
Prévision 0.89%112.64cote équitable
EV +788.69%
Avantage +0.788%
Kelly +0.789%
Croissance +6.22%
avec la cote maximale 1001.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
0.10%0.95%0.93%2.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
34.00155.64100.001001.002.94%0.64%1.00%0.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 8.16%12.25cote équitable
EV +275.47%
Avantage +5.99%
Kelly +6.12%
Croissance +16.86%
avec la cote maximale 46.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.13%8.51%8.16%15.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.0012.6010.0046.0016.67%7.94%10.00%2.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.78%EV -9.05%E -9.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1001.00I 0.10%NM 0.10%EV +788.69%E +0.788%K +0.789%G +6.22% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +275.47%E +5.99%K +6.12%G +16.86% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| FanDuel | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.18%EV -8.14%E -8.06%K -814.07%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.96%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +177.52%E +5.22%K +5.38%G +9.55% | 2.9% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| Sky Bet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.39%EV -9.05%E -9.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.94%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +112.22%E +4.32%K +4.49%G +5.04% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| Betway | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.98%EV -7.23%E -7.09%K -361.56%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.64%EV +38.76%E +2.28%K +2.42%G +0.939% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| Bovada | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.86%EV -7.23%E -7.09%K -361.56%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.29%EV -63.60%E -1.55%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV +30.60%E +1.91%K +2.04%G +0.624% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.06%EV -9.05%E -9.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 126.00I 0.79%NM 0.74%EV +11.86%E +0.094%K +0.095%G +0.011% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +22.44%E +1.50%K +1.60%G +0.360% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| Betsson | 1.00I 100.00%NM 92.89%EV -9.05%E -9.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.92%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +22.44%E +1.50%K +1.60%G +0.360% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.86%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 400.00I 0.25%NM 0.24%EV +255.12%E +0.638%K +0.639%G +1.63% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.90%EV +14.27%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.157% | 3.5% | 2026-05-30 16:12 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.85%EV -6.32%E -6.14%K -210.72%G +0.000% | 300.00I 0.33%NM 0.32%EV +166.34%E +0.554%K +0.556%G +0.925% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.83%EV +14.27%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.157% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| BoyleSports | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.81%EV -6.32%E -6.14%K -210.72%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.40%EV -40.52%E -0.605%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -2.05%E -0.171%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 16:08 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.43%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.94%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -10.21%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 16:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.58%EV -6.32%E -6.14%K -210.72%G +0.000% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93%EV -11.22%E -0.112%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -10.21%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |
| Coolbet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.82%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93%EV -11.22%E -0.112%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.25%EV -17.56%E -1.74%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| Casumo | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.16%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.16%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| betPARX | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.16%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.16%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 251.00I 0.40%NM 0.38%EV +122.84%E +0.489%K +0.491%G +0.604% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.65%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.65%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Grosvenor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.65%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| TABtouch | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.65%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| LeoVegas | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.74%EV -6.32%E -6.14%K -210.72%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.02%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -18.38%E -1.84%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Unibet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.40%EV -7.23%E -7.09%K -361.56%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.00%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -22.46%E -2.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.40%EV -7.23%E -7.09%K -361.56%G +0.000% | 91.00I 1.10%NM 1.00%EV -19.21%E -0.211%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -22.46%E -2.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.94%EV -3.59%E -3.39%K -59.89%G +0.000% | 161.00I 0.62%NM 0.59%EV +42.94%E +0.267%K +0.268%G +0.115% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -26.54%E -2.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| DraftKings | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.96%EV -4.50%E -4.29%K -90.05%G +0.000% | 141.00I 0.71%NM 0.66%EV +25.18%E +0.179%K +0.180%G +0.045% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -26.54%E -2.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.03%EV -5.41%E -5.20%K -135.31%G +0.000% | 76.00I 1.32%NM 1.20%EV -32.53%E -0.428%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -30.62%E -3.60%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Bet Victor | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.84%EV -1.77%E -1.64%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.92%EV -10.33%E -0.102%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -42.86%E -6.12%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 16:06 |
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.31%EV -1.77%E -1.64%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.68%EV -69.81%E -2.05%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -42.86%E -6.12%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 16:08 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.58%EV -1.77%E -1.64%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.36%EV -40.52%E -0.605%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -46.94%E -7.22%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 16:07 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.61%EV -2.68%E -2.51%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.63%EV -69.81%E -2.05%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -46.94%E -7.22%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-30 16:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.61%EV -3.59%E -3.39%K -59.89%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.22%EV -64.49%E -1.61%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.18%EV -48.98%E -7.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 16:08 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.12%EV -0.865%E -0.793%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.78%EV -54.72%E -1.07%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -51.03%E -8.50%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 16:06 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.04% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.98% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.98% | 2.0% | 2026-05-30 16:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.48% | 1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.42% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.82% | 1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.08% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.54% | 1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 16:13 |
| Smarkets | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.22% | 294.12I 0.34%NM 0.31% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.48% | 11.0% | 2026-05-30 16:11 |