La scuola delle quote

Villarreal v Valencia

Inizio: 2026-02-22 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Villarreal (Casa)

Previsione 56.56%1.77quota equa
EV -1.58%
Vantaggio -0.907%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.03%56.58%56.42%57.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.671.671.7462.11%60.00%59.88%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Valencia (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.83%5.31quota equa
EV +2.61%
Vantaggio +0.479%
Kelly +0.586%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.73%18.78%18.89%19.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.504.934.895.4522.22%20.29%20.45%18.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.61%4.06quota equa
EV +1.14%
Vantaggio +0.278%
Kelly +0.367%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.48%24.63%24.69%26.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.853.854.1130.30%25.98%25.97%24.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.36%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.79%EV +2.61%E +0.479%K +0.586%G +0.015%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.17%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.73%EV +2.61%E +0.479%K +0.586%G +0.015%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 19:10
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.17%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.73%EV +2.61%E +0.479%K +0.586%G +0.015%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 19:10
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.98%EV +1.67%E +0.309%K +0.379%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-22 19:00
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.18%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.20%EV -0.026%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.63%EV -7.23%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 19:55
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 56.66%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -0.215%E -0.041%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 19:50
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.61%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -0.215%E -0.041%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 19:15
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -1.16%E -0.220%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 19:55
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.10%E -0.403%K -0.499%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 19:55
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42%EV -1.58%E -0.907%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%EV +0.895%E +0.218%K +0.289%G +0.003%1.9%2026-02-22 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.85%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV +0.895%E +0.218%K +0.289%G +0.003%2.9%2026-02-22 19:24
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.85%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV +0.895%E +0.218%K +0.289%G +0.003%2.9%2026-02-22 19:24
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.99%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV +0.895%E +0.218%K +0.289%G +0.003%3.2%2026-02-22 19:23
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 19:55
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.57%E -0.392%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 19:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 19:10
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 19:49
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 19:55
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 19:55
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 19:10
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 19:10
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 19:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 19:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 19:10
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -6.80%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -2.80%E -0.708%K -0.948%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 19:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -6.80%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -2.80%E -0.708%K -0.948%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.75%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -3.53%E -0.902%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 19:40
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -8.93%E -5.55%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -2.80%E -0.708%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 19:53
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.49%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.87%EV -7.93%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.64%EV +1.14%E +0.278%K +0.367%G +0.004%2.9%2026-02-22 19:55
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -8.69%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 19:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.01%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 19:35
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 19:35
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:24
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:23
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:25
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:23
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:25
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:25
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 19:25
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 19:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 19:49
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 19:50
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 19:50
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -1.57%E -0.392%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 19:55
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 18:54
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 19:35
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 19:54
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -7.80%E -4.79%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 19:23
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -7.80%E -4.79%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 19:25
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -7.80%E -4.79%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 19:25
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 19:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 19:35
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -7.23%E -4.41%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.51%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -7.23%E -4.41%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -11.51%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.03%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.45%EV -15.28%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -18.79%E -5.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-22 19:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-02-22 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-02-22 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-02-22 19:55
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-02-22 19:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-02-22 19:55