L’École des cotes

Villarreal v Valencia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Villarreal (Local)

Prévision 56.56%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.907%
Kelly -2.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.03%56.58%56.42%57.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.671.671.7462.11%60.00%59.88%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Valencia (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.83%5.31cote équitable
EV +2.61%
Avantage +0.479%
Kelly +0.586%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 5.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.73%18.78%18.89%19.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.934.895.4522.22%20.29%20.45%18.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.61%4.06cote équitable
EV +1.14%
Avantage +0.278%
Kelly +0.367%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.48%24.63%24.69%26.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.853.854.1130.30%25.98%25.97%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.36%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.79%EV +2.61%E +0.479%K +0.586%G +0.015%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.17%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.73%EV +2.61%E +0.479%K +0.586%G +0.015%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 19:10
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.17%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.73%EV +2.61%E +0.479%K +0.586%G +0.015%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 19:10
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.98%EV +1.67%E +0.309%K +0.379%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-22 19:00
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.18%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.20%EV -0.026%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.63%EV -7.23%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 19:55
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 56.66%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -0.215%E -0.041%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 19:50
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.61%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -0.215%E -0.041%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 19:15
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -1.16%E -0.220%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 19:55
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.10%E -0.403%K -0.499%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 19:55
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42%EV -1.58%E -0.907%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%EV +0.895%E +0.218%K +0.289%G +0.003%1.9%2026-02-22 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.85%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV +0.895%E +0.218%K +0.289%G +0.003%2.9%2026-02-22 19:24
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.85%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV +0.895%E +0.218%K +0.289%G +0.003%2.9%2026-02-22 19:24
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.99%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV +0.895%E +0.218%K +0.289%G +0.003%3.2%2026-02-22 19:23
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 19:55
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.57%E -0.392%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 19:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 19:10
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 19:49
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 19:55
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 19:55
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 19:10
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 19:10
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 19:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 19:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.86%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 19:10
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -6.80%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -2.80%E -0.708%K -0.948%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 19:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -6.80%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -2.80%E -0.708%K -0.948%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.75%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -3.53%E -0.902%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 19:40
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -8.93%E -5.55%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -2.80%E -0.708%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 19:53
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.49%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.87%EV -7.93%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.64%EV +1.14%E +0.278%K +0.367%G +0.004%2.9%2026-02-22 19:55
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -8.69%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 19:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.01%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 19:35
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 19:35
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:24
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:23
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:25
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:23
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:25
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 19:25
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 19:25
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 19:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 19:49
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 19:50
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 19:50
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -1.57%E -0.392%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 19:55
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 18:54
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 19:35
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 19:54
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -7.80%E -4.79%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 19:23
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -7.80%E -4.79%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 19:25
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -7.80%E -4.79%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 19:25
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 19:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 19:35
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -7.23%E -4.41%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.51%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -7.23%E -4.41%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -11.51%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.03%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.45%EV -15.28%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -18.79%E -5.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-22 19:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-02-22 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-02-22 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-02-22 19:55
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-02-22 19:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-02-22 19:55